Company Valuation: Novartis AG

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Capitalization 1 196,458 194,448 207,167 195,514 266,003 279,158 - -
Change - -1.02% 6.54% -5.62% 36.05% 4.95% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 204,649 203,482 219,178 213,458 289,870 311,436 307,435 302,575
Change - -0.57% 7.71% -2.61% 35.8% 7.44% -1.28% -1.58%
P/E ratio 8.2x 28.3x 14.1x 16.5x 19.2x 20.2x 17.3x 15.2x
PBR 2.9x 3.23x 4.41x 4.52x 5.73x 5.86x 5.61x 4.94x
PEG - -0.4x 0x -1x 0.9x 40.24x 1x 1.1x
Capitalization / Revenue 3.81x 3.85x 4.44x 3.78x 4.69x 4.89x 4.61x 4.33x
EV / Revenue 3.96x 4.03x 4.7x 4.13x 5.11x 5.45x 5.07x 4.7x
EV / EBITDA 11.2x 10.9x 12.2x 10.2x 12.4x 13.2x 12.1x 11x
EV / EBIT 12.3x 12.2x 13.4x 10.9x 13.2x 14.4x 13.2x 11.9x
EV / FCF 15.4x 17x 16.6x 13.1x 16.5x 23x 18.9x 16.2x
FCF Yield 6.49% 5.87% 6.01% 7.61% 6.07% 4.34% 5.28% 6.16%
Dividend per Share 2 3.36 3.5 3.823 3.856 - 4.5 4.708 4.904
Rate of return 3.83% 3.87% 3.79% 3.94% - 3.08% 3.22% 3.35%
EPS 2 10.71 3.19 7.15 5.92 7.21 7.246 8.449 9.601
Distribution rate 31.4% 110% 53.5% 65.1% - 62.1% 55.7% 51.1%
Net sales 1 51,626 50,545 46,660 51,722 56,674 57,141 60,592 64,405
EBITDA 1 18,246 18,613 17,937 21,006 23,415 23,513 25,373 27,612
EBIT 1 16,588 16,665 16,372 19,494 21,889 21,568 23,363 25,323
Net income 1 24,021 6,955 14,854 11,939 13,967 14,149 15,685 17,564
Net Debt 1 8,191 9,034 12,011 17,944 23,867 32,279 28,277 23,417
Reference price 2 87.82 90.40 100.79 97.79 138.63 146.30 146.30 146.30
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,237,092 2,150,980 2,055,460 1,999,270 1,918,792 1,908,092 - -
Announcement Date 2/2/22 2/1/23 1/31/24 1/31/25 2/4/26 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

P/E ratio, Detailed evolution

P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
20.19x5.45x13.25x3.08% 279B
28.37x10.33x21.27x0.7% 862B
23.66x5.46x14.85x2.41% 533B
24.72x6.13x12.48x3.38% 358B
16.88x4.23x10.43x3.14% 328B
23.18x4.81x13.69x1.8% 286B
49.65x4.63x17.32x2.99% 275B
13.62x4.97x10.19x3.72% 210B
21.19x5.8x10.07x3.06% 178B
-48.25x5.76x32.18x2.43% 166B
Average 17.32x 5.76x 15.57x 2.67% 347.46B
Weighted average by Cap. 21.87x 6.50x 16.05x 2.32%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield