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Market Closed -
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 113.36 CHF | +0.05% |
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-2.19% | +3.43% |
Projected Income Statement: Novartis AG
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 51,626 | 50,545 | 46,660 | 51,722 | 56,674 | 57,141 | 60,592 | 64,405 |
| Change | - | -2.09% | -7.69% | 10.85% | 9.57% | 0.82% | 6.04% | 6.29% |
| EBITDA 1 | 18,246 | 18,613 | 17,937 | 21,006 | 23,415 | 23,513 | 25,337 | 27,669 |
| Change | - | 2.01% | -3.63% | 17.11% | 11.47% | 0.42% | 7.76% | 9.2% |
| EBIT 1 | 16,588 | 16,665 | 16,372 | 19,494 | 21,889 | 21,568 | 23,304 | 25,320 |
| Change | - | 0.46% | -1.76% | 19.07% | 12.29% | -1.47% | 8.05% | 8.65% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -891 | -817 | -633 | -866 | -1,280 | -1,696 | -1,445 | -1,283 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 26,137 | 8,371 | 9,123 | 13,640 | 16,352 | 15,906 | 18,363 | 20,209 |
| Change | - | -67.97% | 8.98% | 49.51% | 19.88% | -2.73% | 15.44% | 10.06% |
| Net income 1 | 24,021 | 6,955 | 14,854 | 11,939 | 13,967 | 14,149 | 15,797 | 17,646 |
| Change | - | -71.05% | 113.57% | -19.62% | 16.99% | 1.3% | 11.65% | 11.7% |
| Announcement Date | 2/2/22 | 2/1/23 | 1/31/24 | 1/31/25 | 2/4/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Novartis AG
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 8,191 | 9,034 | 12,011 | 17,944 | 23,867 | 32,279 | 28,277 | 23,417 |
| Change | - | 10.29% | 32.95% | 49.4% | 33.01% | 35.25% | -12.4% | -17.19% |
| Announcement Date | 2/2/22 | 2/1/23 | 1/31/24 | 1/31/25 | 2/4/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Novartis AG
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 1,378 | 1,198 | 1,060 | 1,366 | 1,548 | 2,152 | 2,290 | 2,731 |
| Change | - | -13.06% | -11.52% | 28.87% | 13.32% | 38.99% | 6.42% | 19.29% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 13,282 | 11,945 | 13,179 | 16,253 | 17,596 | 13,528 | 16,241 | 18,652 |
| Change | - | -10.07% | 10.33% | 23.32% | 8.26% | -23.12% | 20.06% | 14.84% |
| Announcement Date | 2/2/22 | 2/1/23 | 1/31/24 | 1/31/25 | 2/4/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Novartis AG
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 35.34% | 36.82% | 38.44% | 40.61% | 41.32% | 41.15% | 41.82% | 42.96% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 32.13% | 32.97% | 35.09% | 37.69% | 38.62% | 37.75% | 38.46% | 39.31% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 50.63% | 16.56% | 19.55% | 26.37% | 28.85% | 27.84% | 30.31% | 31.38% |
| Net margin (%) | 46.53% | 13.76% | 31.83% | 23.08% | 24.64% | 24.76% | 26.07% | 27.4% |
| FCF margin (%) | 25.73% | 23.63% | 28.24% | 31.42% | 31.05% | 23.67% | 26.8% | 28.96% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 55.29% | 171.75% | 88.72% | 136.13% | 125.98% | 95.61% | 102.81% | 105.7% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 10.86% | 10.71% | 12.37% | 15.58% | 16.33% | 14.06% | 14.79% | 15.69% |
| ROE | 22.69% | 21.03% | 25.37% | 34.74% | 38.4% | 35.5% | 40.35% | 39.17% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 0.45x | 0.49x | 0.67x | 0.85x | 1.02x | 1.37x | 1.12x | 0.85x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 0.62x | 0.76x | 0.91x | 1.1x | 1.36x | 2.39x | 1.74x | 1.26x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 2.67% | 2.37% | 2.27% | 2.64% | 2.73% | 3.77% | 3.78% | 4.24% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 7.55% | 6.44% | 5.91% | 6.5% | 6.61% | 9.15% | 9.04% | 9.87% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 10.37% | 10.03% | 8.04% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 15.91% | 14.1% | 14.64% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 6.669 | 6.48 | 6.911 | 8.658 | 9.792 | 9.52 | 10.98 | 12.49 |
| Change | - | -2.83% | 6.65% | 25.28% | 13.1% | -2.78% | 15.31% | 13.79% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 3.36 | 3.5 | 3.823 | 3.856 | - | 4.5 | 4.708 | 4.904 |
| Change | - | 4.17% | 9.23% | 0.88% | - | - | 4.62% | 4.17% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 30.28 | 28 | 22.83 | 21.64 | 24.18 | 24.96 | 26.08 | 29.62 |
| Change | - | -7.55% | -18.45% | -5.2% | 11.69% | 3.24% | 4.48% | 13.59% |
| EPS 1 | 10.71 | 3.19 | 7.15 | 5.92 | 7.21 | 7.246 | 8.564 | 9.726 |
| Change | - | -70.21% | 124.14% | -17.2% | 21.79% | 0.5% | 18.18% | 13.57% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 2,237,092 | 2,150,980 | 2,055,460 | 1,999,270 | 1,918,792 | 1,908,092 | 1,908,092 | 1,908,092 |
| Announcement Date | 2/2/22 | 2/1/23 | 1/31/24 | 1/31/25 | 2/4/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 20.1x | 17x |
| PBR | 5.84x | 5.59x |
| EV / Sales | 5.43x | 5.06x |
| Yield | 3.09% | 3.23% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Global
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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- Financials Novartis AG
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