Projected Income Statement: ERICSSON

Forecast Balance Sheet: ERICSSON

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -35,151 -14,155 2,099 -18,390 -23,938 -50,379 -58,969 -63,091
Change - 59.73% 114.83% -976.13% -30.17% -110.46% -17.05% -6.99%
Announcement Date 1/25/22 1/20/23 1/23/24 1/24/25 1/23/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: ERICSSON

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,548 4,228 3,297 2,340 2,630 3,194 3,260 3,502
Change - 19.17% -22.02% -29.03% 12.39% 21.45% 2.07% 7.42%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 35,517 26,635 3,880 43,921 26,769 23,549 24,554 25,412
Change - -25.01% -85.43% 1,031.98% -39.05% -12.03% 4.27% 3.49%
Announcement Date 1/25/22 1/20/23 1/23/24 1/24/25 1/23/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: ERICSSON

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 17.78% 13.98% 11.42% 20.32% 21.22% 16.36% 16.8% 16.91%
EBIT Margin (%) 13.9% 10.1% 6.87% 9.95% 17.31% 13.11% 13.66% 13.59%
EBT Margin (%) 12.59% 9.06% -8.85% 1.04% 16.18% 10.69% 12.27% 12.91%
Net margin (%) 9.9% 6.9% -10.04% 0.01% 12.01% 8.19% 9.26% 9.41%
FCF margin (%) 15.29% 9.81% 1.47% 17.72% 11.31% 10.38% 10.64% 10.83%
FCF / Net Income (%) 154.42% 142.25% -14.67% 219,605% 94.16% 126.67% 114.88% 115.05%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.86% 7.41% -8.18% 0.01% 9.95% 7.24% 8.02% 8.28%
ROE 23.2% 15.37% 10.38% 3.07% 29.61% 18.62% 20.71% 20.86%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - 0.07x - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - 0.54x - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.53% 1.56% 1.25% 0.94% 1.11% 1.41% 1.41% 1.49%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 8.59% 11.14% 10.96% 4.65% 5.24% 8.6% 8.41% 8.82%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 9.99% 15.87% 84.97% 5.33% 9.82% 13.56% 13.28% 13.78%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 11.72 9.257 2.155 13.88 9.887 7.993 8.707 9.681
Change - -21.04% -76.72% 544.19% -28.79% -19.16% 8.93% 11.19%
Dividend per Share 1 2.5 2.5 2.7 2.85 3 3.103 3.271 3.458
Change - 0% 8% 5.56% 5.26% 3.43% 5.41% 5.75%
Book Value Per Share 1 32.64 40.44 29.25 28.3 32.86 33.32 35.7 38.18
Change - 23.9% -27.66% -3.27% 16.14% 1.4% 7.12% 6.95%
EPS 1 6.81 5.62 -7.94 0.01 8.51 5.481 6.52 6.928
Change - -17.47% -241.28% 100.13% 85,000% -35.6% 18.97% 6.25%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 3,329,738 3,330,142 3,330,142 3,332,672 3,333,287 3,330,949 3,330,949 3,330,949
Announcement Date 1/25/22 1/20/23 1/23/24 1/24/25 1/23/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 21.9x 18.4x
PBR 3.61x 3.37x
EV / Sales 1.54x 1.48x
Yield 2.58% 2.72%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
21
Last Close Price
120.20SEK
Average target price
98.62SEK
Spread / Average Target
-17.95%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise