Projected Income Statement: ERICSSON

Forecast Balance Sheet: ERICSSON

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -35,151 -14,155 2,099 -18,390 -23,938 -49,167 -58,294 -65,294
Change - 59.73% 114.83% -976.13% -30.17% -105.39% -18.56% -12.01%
Announcement Date 1/25/22 1/20/23 1/23/24 1/24/25 1/23/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: ERICSSON

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,548 4,228 3,297 2,340 2,630 3,199 3,266 3,509
Change - 19.17% -22.02% -29.03% 12.39% 21.62% 2.12% 7.42%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 35,517 26,635 3,880 43,921 26,769 22,935 25,923 26,529
Change - -25.01% -85.43% 1,031.98% -39.05% -14.32% 13.03% 2.34%
Announcement Date 1/25/22 1/20/23 1/23/24 1/24/25 1/23/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: ERICSSON

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 17.78% 13.98% 11.42% 20.32% 21.22% 16.64% 16.48% 16.91%
EBIT Margin (%) 13.9% 10.1% 6.87% 9.95% 17.31% 13.08% 13.12% 13.38%
EBT Margin (%) 12.59% 9.06% -8.85% 1.04% 16.18% 10.69% 12.1% 12.56%
Net margin (%) 9.9% 6.9% -10.04% 0.01% 12.01% 7.89% 8.8% 9.26%
FCF margin (%) 15.29% 9.81% 1.47% 17.72% 11.31% 10.14% 11.23% 11.28%
FCF / Net Income (%) 154.42% 142.25% -14.67% 219,605% 94.16% 128.53% 127.54% 121.71%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.86% 7.41% -8.18% 0.01% 9.95% 6.78% 7.55% 7.84%
ROE 23.2% 15.37% 10.38% 3.07% 29.61% 18.87% 20.52% 20.93%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - 0.07x - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - 0.54x - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.53% 1.56% 1.25% 0.94% 1.11% 1.41% 1.41% 1.49%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 8.59% 11.14% 10.96% 4.65% 5.24% 8.5% 8.59% 8.82%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 9.99% 15.87% 84.97% 5.33% 9.82% 13.95% 12.6% 13.23%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 11.72 9.257 2.155 13.88 9.887 7.664 8.405 8.893
Change - -21.04% -76.72% 544.19% -28.79% -22.48% 9.66% 5.81%
Dividend per Share 1 2.5 2.5 2.7 2.85 3 3.059 3.177 3.32
Change - 0% 8% 5.56% 5.26% 1.98% 3.86% 4.49%
Book Value Per Share 1 32.64 40.44 29.25 28.3 32.86 33.51 35.78 38.43
Change - 23.9% -27.66% -3.27% 16.14% 1.96% 6.77% 7.42%
EPS 1 6.81 5.62 -7.94 0.01 8.51 5.306 6.248 6.882
Change - -17.47% -241.28% 100.13% 85,000% -37.65% 17.74% 10.15%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 3,329,738 3,330,142 3,330,142 3,332,672 3,333,287 3,301,748 3,301,748 3,301,748
Announcement Date 1/25/22 1/20/23 1/23/24 1/24/25 1/23/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 17.5x 14.9x
PBR 2.77x 2.6x
EV / Sales 1.14x 1.08x
Yield 3.29% 3.42%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
92.98SEK
Average target price
97.00SEK
Spread / Average Target
+4.32%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise