Projected Income Statement: Valero Energy Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Valero Energy Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 9,748 6,773 6,100 5,806 5,931 3,761 3,410 -110
Change - -30.52% -9.94% -4.82% 2.15% -36.59% -9.33% -103.23%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 1/30/25 1/29/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Valero Energy Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,458 2,737 1,916 2,057 1,888 1,784 1,732 1,701
Change - 11.35% -30% 7.36% -8.22% -5.49% -2.91% -1.81%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,401 9,837 7,313 4,626 3,938 11,978 10,305 7,799
Change - 189.24% -25.66% -36.74% -14.87% 204.16% -13.97% -24.32%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 1/30/25 1/29/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Valero Energy Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 3.98% 10.3% 10.06% 5.03% 6.16% 11.37% 9.43% 8.76%
EBIT Margin (%) 2.05% 8.9% 8.19% 2.89% 2.59% 9.9% 7.78% 6.45%
EBT Margin (%) 1.35% 8.68% 8.13% 2.85% 2.45% 10.08% 7.77% 6.52%
Net margin (%) 0.82% 6.54% 6.1% 2.13% 1.91% 7.11% 5.19% 4.32%
FCF margin (%) 2.98% 5.58% 5.05% 3.56% 3.21% 8.58% 8.28% 6.97%
FCF / Net Income (%) 365.7% 85.33% 82.77% 167% 167.72% 120.7% 159.63% 161.21%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.7% 19.4% 14.25% 4.45% 5.57% 14.64% 10.37% -
ROE 5% 54.91% 35.41% 10.89% 9.74% 36.21% 21.17% 17.97%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.15x 0.37x 0.42x 0.89x 0.78x 0.24x 0.29x -
Debt / Free cash flow 2.87x 0.69x 0.83x 1.26x 1.51x 0.31x 0.33x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.16% 1.55% 1.32% 1.58% 1.54% 1.28% 1.39% 1.52%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 54.2% 15.07% 13.16% 31.51% 24.98% 11.24% 14.76% 17.34%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 72.27% 27.82% 26.2% 44.47% 47.94% 14.9% 16.81% 21.81%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 8.929 35.86 26.14 18.29 19.48 43.95 39.59 33.3
Change - 301.61% -27.09% -30.06% 6.51% 125.68% -9.93% -15.9%
Dividend per Share 1 3.92 3.92 4.08 4.28 4.52 4.822 5.061 5.224
Change - 0% 4.08% 4.9% 5.61% 6.68% 4.96% 3.22%
Book Value Per Share 1 45.28 63.31 79.24 77.82 79.36 88.96 95.32 101.5
Change - 39.82% 25.15% -1.79% 1.98% 12.09% 7.15% 6.48%
EPS 1 2.27 29.04 24.92 8.58 7.57 34.49 24.36 20.17
Change - 1,179.3% -14.19% -65.57% -11.77% 355.57% -29.37% -17.18%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 408,836 385,523 340,453 316,585 305,010 296,933 296,933 296,933
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 1/30/25 1/29/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 8.84x 12.5x
PBR 3.43x 3.2x
EV / Sales 0.68x 0.75x
Yield 1.58% 1.66%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
304.93USD
Average target price
289.63USD
Spread / Average Target
-5.02%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. VLO Stock
  4. VLO * Stock
  5. Financials Valero Energy Corporation