Projected Income Statement: Valero Energy Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Valero Energy Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 9,748 6,773 6,100 5,806 5,931 4,407 4,399 2,138
Change - -30.52% -9.94% -4.82% 2.15% -25.7% -0.18% -51.4%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 1/30/25 1/29/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Valero Energy Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,458 2,737 1,916 2,057 1,888 1,794 1,734 1,695
Change - 11.35% -30% 7.36% -8.22% -4.96% -3.38% -2.23%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,401 9,837 7,313 4,626 3,938 9,857 7,962 7,682
Change - 189.24% -25.66% -36.74% -14.87% 150.31% -19.23% -3.51%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 1/30/25 1/29/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Valero Energy Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 3.98% 10.3% 10.06% 5.03% 6.16% 10.95% 9.01% 8.59%
EBIT Margin (%) 2.05% 8.9% 8.19% 2.89% 2.59% 8.99% 7.14% 6.56%
EBT Margin (%) 1.35% 8.68% 8.13% 2.85% 2.45% 8.73% 6.66% 6.2%
Net margin (%) 0.82% 6.54% 6.1% 2.13% 1.91% 6.67% 5.03% 4.79%
FCF margin (%) 2.98% 5.58% 5.05% 3.56% 3.21% 7.37% 6.43% 6.75%
FCF / Net Income (%) 365.7% 85.33% 82.77% 167% 167.72% 110.54% 127.88% 140.82%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.7% 19.4% 14.25% 4.45% - 14.64% 10.37% -
ROE 5% 54.91% 35.41% 10.89% 9.74% 30.49% 21.52% 17.85%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.15x 0.37x 0.42x 0.89x 0.78x 0.3x 0.39x 0.22x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.87x 0.69x 0.83x 1.26x 1.51x 0.45x 0.55x 0.28x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.16% 1.55% 1.32% 1.58% 1.54% 1.34% 1.4% 1.49%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 54.2% 15.07% 13.16% 31.51% 24.98% 12.26% 15.53% 17.34%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 72.27% 27.82% 26.2% 44.47% 47.94% 18.2% 21.77% 22.06%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 8.929 35.86 26.14 18.29 19.48 38.68 33.04 33.72
Change - 301.61% -27.09% -30.06% 6.51% 98.58% -14.57% 2.04%
Dividend per Share 1 3.92 3.92 4.08 4.28 4.52 4.825 5.059 5.199
Change - 0% 4.08% 4.9% 5.61% 6.75% 4.86% 2.75%
Book Value Per Share 1 45.28 63.31 79.24 77.82 - 88.35 94.69 101.5
Change - 39.82% 25.15% -1.79% - - 7.17% 7.19%
EPS 1 2.27 29.04 24.92 8.58 7.57 31.04 23.26 21.55
Change - 1,179.3% -14.19% -65.57% -11.77% 310.1% -25.06% -7.37%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 408,836 385,523 340,453 316,585 305,010 296,933 296,933 296,933
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 1/30/25 1/29/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 8.71x 11.6x
PBR 3.06x 2.85x
EV / Sales 0.63x 0.68x
Yield 1.78% 1.87%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
270.32USD
Average target price
266.94USD
Spread / Average Target
-1.25%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. VLO Stock
  4. VLO * Stock
  5. Financials Valero Energy Corporation