Projected Income Statement: Valero Energy Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Valero Energy Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 9,748 6,773 6,100 5,806 5,931 1,874 435 -1,039
Change - -30.52% -9.94% -4.82% 2.15% -68.4% -76.79% -338.85%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 1/30/25 1/29/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Valero Energy Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,458 2,737 1,916 2,057 1,888 1,937 1,734 1,693
Change - 11.35% -30% 7.36% -8.22% 2.62% -10.52% -2.34%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,401 9,837 7,313 4,626 3,938 14,471 10,716 8,346
Change - 189.24% -25.66% -36.74% -14.87% 267.48% -25.95% -22.11%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 1/30/25 1/29/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Valero Energy Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 3.98% 10.3% 10.06% 5.03% 6.16% 13.04% 10.69% 9.59%
EBIT Margin (%) 2.05% 8.9% 8.19% 2.89% 2.59% 11.37% 9.19% 7.62%
EBT Margin (%) 1.35% 8.68% 8.13% 2.85% 2.45% 11.18% 8.67% 7.55%
Net margin (%) 0.82% 6.54% 6.1% 2.13% 1.91% 8.16% 6.15% 5.54%
FCF margin (%) 2.98% 5.58% 5.05% 3.56% 3.21% 9.76% 8.4% 7.31%
FCF / Net Income (%) 365.7% 85.33% 82.77% 167% 167.72% 119.69% 136.71% 132.1%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.7% 19.4% 14.25% 4.45% 5.57% 19.9% 13.83% -
ROE 5% 54.91% 35.41% 10.89% 9.74% 42.68% 26.03% 18.31%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.15x 0.37x 0.42x 0.89x 0.78x 0.1x 0.03x -
Debt / Free cash flow 2.87x 0.69x 0.83x 1.26x 1.51x 0.13x 0.04x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.16% 1.55% 1.32% 1.58% 1.54% 1.31% 1.36% 1.48%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 54.2% 15.07% 13.16% 31.51% 24.98% 10.02% 12.72% 15.48%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 72.27% 27.82% 26.2% 44.47% 47.94% 13.39% 16.18% 20.28%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 8.929 35.86 26.14 18.29 19.48 54.78 44.18 50.2
Change - 301.61% -27.09% -30.06% 6.51% 181.27% -19.35% 13.61%
Dividend per Share 1 3.92 3.92 4.08 4.28 4.52 4.847 5.083 5.285
Change - 0% 4.08% 4.9% 5.61% 7.22% 4.88% 3.97%
Book Value Per Share 1 45.28 63.31 79.24 77.82 79.36 95.21 106.7 107.9
Change - 39.82% 25.15% -1.79% 1.98% 19.97% 12.04% 1.11%
EPS 1 2.27 29.04 24.92 8.58 7.57 40.88 29.19 27.17
Change - 1,179.3% -14.19% -65.57% -11.77% 440.01% -28.59% -6.94%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 408,836 385,523 340,453 316,585 305,010 287,927 287,927 287,927
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 1/30/25 1/29/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 8.49x 11.9x
PBR 3.65x 3.25x
EV / Sales 0.69x 0.79x
Yield 1.4% 1.46%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
347.19USD
Average target price
312.53USD
Spread / Average Target
-9.98%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. VLO Stock
  4. VLO * Stock
  5. Financials Valero Energy Corporation