Projected Income Statement: Saudi Telecom Company

Forecast Balance Sheet: Saudi Telecom Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -3,699 -11,997 -2,025 -13,460 2,364 1,272 -1.53 1,562
Change - -224.33% 83.12% -564.69% 117.56% -46.2% -100.12% 102,191.5%
Announcement Date 2/21/22 2/20/23 2/19/24 2/26/25 2/17/26 - - -
1SAR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Saudi Telecom Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 8,210 7,702 9,569 11,763 11,795 13,220 14,400 15,118
Change - -6.19% 24.25% 22.92% 0.27% 12.09% 8.92% 4.99%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,010 18,653 12,848 8,183 6,488 13,647 10,971 12,095
Change - 519.65% -31.12% -36.31% -20.71% 110.33% -19.61% 10.24%
Announcement Date 2/21/22 2/20/23 2/19/24 2/26/25 2/17/26 - - -
1SAR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Saudi Telecom Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 36.02% 37.19% 34.12% 31.53% 31.44% 32.01% 32.24% 32.6%
EBIT Margin (%) 20.7% 22.38% 19.63% 19.01% 18.55% 18.95% 19.2% 19.49%
EBT Margin (%) 19.92% 19.98% 20.45% 15.99% 18.92% 19.05% 19.31% 19.92%
Net margin (%) 17.84% 18.05% 18.38% 32.53% 19.05% 17.37% 17.52% 17.87%
FCF margin (%) 4.75% 27.66% 17.76% 10.78% 8.34% 16.69% 12.79% 13.45%
FCF / Net Income (%) 26.61% 153.25% 96.64% 33.14% 43.76% 96.13% 73.01% 75.27%

Profitability

        
ROA 9.28% 9.19% 8.96% 15.41% 9.32% 9.3% 9.05% 9.35%
ROE 17.41% 17.05% 17.44% 29.32% 17.16% 17.06% 17% 17.25%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - 0.1x 0.05x - 0.05x
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - 0.36x 0.09x - 0.13x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 12.95% 11.42% 13.23% 15.5% 15.16% 16.17% 16.79% 16.81%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 35.94% 30.71% 38.77% 49.16% 48.2% 50.52% 52.08% 51.57%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 272.74% 41.29% 74.48% 143.75% 181.78% 96.87% 131.25% 125%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.191 5.271 4.484 3.977 3.664 4.712 5.167 5.582
Change - 140.58% -14.94% -11.29% -7.87% 28.6% 9.65% 8.03%
Dividend per Share 1 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.75 2.2 2.207 2.273 2.415
Change - 0% 0% 9.37% 25.71% 0.32% 2.99% 6.24%
Book Value Per Share 1 13.87 14.75 15.85 17.93 16.72 17.27 17.86 18.62
Change - 6.35% 7.41% 13.15% -6.77% 3.31% 3.41% 4.28%
EPS 1 2.264 2.44 2.66 4.95 2.97 2.845 2.994 3.183
Change - 7.77% 9.02% 86.09% -40% -4.21% 5.23% 6.33%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 4,992,873 4,990,371 4,984,506 4,986,916 4,989,794 4,993,024 4,993,024 4,993,024
Announcement Date 2/21/22 2/20/23 2/19/24 2/26/25 2/17/26 - - -
1SAR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 15.4x 14.6x
PBR 2.54x 2.45x
EV / Sales 2.69x 2.55x
Yield 5.04% 5.19%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
43.82SAR
Average target price
48.22SAR
Spread / Average Target
+10.05%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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