Projected Income Statement: Kaspi Bank

Forecast Balance Sheet: Kaspi Bank

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt - - - -538,837 -859,933 - - -
Change - - - - -59.59% - - -
Announcement Date 2/28/22 2/27/23 2/26/24 2/24/25 3/2/26 - - -
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Kaspi Bank

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
CAPEX 1 18,189 24,901 59,468 50,257 95,726 182,513
Change - 36.9% 138.82% -15.49% 90.47% 90.66%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 263,305 -514,636 -58,482 -268,371 -722,752 -714,366
Change - -295.45% 88.64% -358.9% -169.31% 1.16%
Announcement Date 3/1/21 2/25/22 2/28/23 2/29/24 2/25/25 3/16/26
1KZT in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Kaspi Bank

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) - - - 80.64% 38.47% 33.5% 32.46% 32.11%
EBIT Margin (%) 56.45% 54.77% 53.41% 50.64% 32.92% 31.48% 30.99% 31.86%
EBT Margin (%) 56.45% 54.77% 53.41% - - - - -
Net margin (%) 46.46% 44.76% 44.36% 41.74% 26.39% 23.42% 23% 23.14%
FCF margin (%) - - - 19.2% - - - -
FCF / Net Income (%) - - - 46% - - - -

Profitability

        
ROA 13.57% 13.49% 14.21% 6.95% 10.97% - - -
ROE 97.71% 89.29% 89.47% 40.72% 53.26% 45.06% 46.39% 44.2%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) - - - 3.78% - - - -
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) - - - 4.69% - - - -
CAPEX / FCF (%) - - - 19.69% - - - -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Dividend per Share 1 - - 3,200 3,400 - 3,700 3,939 4,459
Change - - - 6.25% - - 6.45% 13.2%
Book Value Per Share 1 - - 4,319 7,985 12,985 15,338 17,686 20,207
Change - - - 84.89% 62.62% 18.12% 15.31% 14.25%
EPS 1 - - 4,381 5,431 5,592 5,868 6,641 7,805
Change - - - 23.97% 2.96% 4.94% 13.16% 17.53%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) - - 189,685 190,016 190,785 190,027 190,027 190,027
Announcement Date - - 2/26/24 2/24/25 3/2/26 - - -
1KZT
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 8.48x 7.5x
PBR 3.25x 2.81x
EV / Sales 1.98x 1.69x
Yield 7.43% 7.91%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
-
Global
-
Quality
-
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
49,781.40KZT
Average target price
47,437.18KZT
Spread / Average Target
-4.71%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise