Projected Income Statement: Vallourec

Forecast Balance Sheet: Vallourec

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 958 1,130 570 -21 -39 -77.5 -181 -250
Change - 17.95% -49.56% -103.68% -85.71% -98.72% -133.55% -38.12%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 3/2/23 3/1/24 2/27/25 2/27/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Vallourec

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 138 191 213 167 176 178.6 187.4 185.1
Change - 38.41% 11.52% -21.6% 5.39% 1.51% 4.91% -1.23%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -284 - 498 321 384 286.4 498.2 612.2
Change - - - -35.54% 19.63% -25.42% 73.98% 22.87%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 3/2/23 3/1/24 2/27/25 2/27/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Vallourec

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.29% 14.64% 23.39% 20.62% 21.5% 20.88% 22.83% 23.23%
EBIT Margin (%) 10.87% 9.99% 19.42% 15% 16.36% 14.98% 18.04% 18.64%
EBT Margin (%) 4.01% -4.77% 15.51% 15.25% 14.26% 13.14% 16.9% 17.86%
Net margin (%) 1.16% -7.5% 9.7% 11.2% 9.32% 9.37% 12.57% 13.22%
FCF margin (%) -8.25% - 9.74% 7.96% 10.08% 7.61% 11.35% 13.21%
FCF / Net Income (%) -710% - 100.4% 71.02% 108.17% 81.2% 90.27% 99.9%

Profitability

        
ROA - - - 8.04% 6.82% 7.7% 8.7% 10.4%
ROE -5.58% -21.49% 26.11% 20.15% 14.74% 15.02% 20.05% 21.87%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.95x 1.58x 0.48x - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow -3.37x - 1.14x - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.01% 3.91% 4.17% 4.14% 4.62% 4.75% 4.27% 3.99%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 28.05% 26.71% 17.81% 20.07% 21.49% 22.74% 18.7% 17.2%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -48.59% - 42.77% 52.02% 45.83% 62.38% 37.62% 30.24%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -1.095 -0.1093 2.962 2 2.24 1.76 2.76 3.015
Change - 90.02% 2,810.43% -32.49% 12% -21.43% 56.83% 9.23%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - 1.5 1.75 1.485 1.569 1.762
Change - - - - 16.67% -15.15% 5.68% 12.3%
Book Value Per Share 1 14.67 7.183 9.419 10.87 9.855 8.865 10.45 10.89
Change - -51.04% 31.14% 15.45% -9.38% -10.04% 17.91% 4.18%
EPS 1 0.3 -1.6 2.07 1.85 1.42 1.31 2.077 2.29
Change - -633.33% 229.37% -10.63% -23.24% -7.73% 58.53% 10.26%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 228,927 228,741 229,728 230,677 234,359 229,554 229,554 229,554
Announcement Date 2/24/22 3/2/23 3/1/24 2/27/25 2/27/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 13.8x 8.73x
PBR 2.05x 1.73x
EV / Sales 1.09x 0.91x
Yield 8.19% 8.65%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
18.13EUR
Average target price
25.70EUR
Spread / Average Target
+41.78%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise