Company Valuation: Thai Beverage

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Market Cap 1 407,676 396,474 386,809 338,955 293,980 285,260 - -
Change - -2.75% -2.44% -12.37% -13.27% -2.97% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 592,999 556,888 550,339 525,552 477,513 451,265 437,684 427,649
Change - -6.09% -1.18% -4.5% -9.14% -5.5% -3.01% -2.29%
P/E 16.6x 13.2x 14.1x 12.5x 11.6x 10.7x 9.91x 9.38x
PBR 2.38x 1.93x 1.92x 2.27x 2.08x 1.84x 1.7x 1.57x
PEG - 0.6x -1.54x -13.63x -1.79x 1.95x 1.31x 1.66x
Capitalization / Revenue 1.69x 1.46x 1.39x 1x 0.88x 0.85x 0.81x 0.78x
EV / Revenue 2.47x 2.04x 1.97x 1.54x 1.43x 1.34x 1.24x 1.17x
EV / EBITDA 14.3x 12x 12.5x 9.37x 8.82x 8.18x 7.72x 7.28x
EV / EBIT 17.6x 14.4x 15.2x 11.5x 10.9x 10x 9.46x 8.8x
EV / FCF 20.7x 13.4x 20.2x 18.1x 14.5x 10.2x 10.6x 10.6x
FCF Yield 4.84% 7.48% 4.96% 5.54% 6.92% 9.84% 9.42% 9.46%
Dividend per Share 2 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.62 0.62 0.618 0.6315 0.6595
Rate of return 3.08% 3.8% 3.9% 4.6% 5.3% 5.44% 5.56% 5.81%
EPS 2 0.98 1.2 1.09 1.08 1.01 1.065 1.146 1.211
Distribution rate 51% 50% 55% 57.4% 61.4% 58% 55.1% 54.5%
Net sales 1 240,543 272,359 279,085 340,289 333,286 337,115 351,695 365,387
EBITDA 1 41,613 46,344 43,971 56,074 54,157 55,188 56,727 58,767
EBIT 1 33,782 38,583 36,229 45,874 43,811 45,012 46,290 48,581
Net income 1 24,645 30,106 27,434 27,216 25,361 27,067 28,882 30,364
Net Debt 1 185,323 160,414 163,530 186,597 183,534 166,005 152,424 142,389
Reference price 2 16.23 15.78 15.40 13.49 11.70 11.35 11.35 11.35
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 25,118,755 25,120,888 25,124,754 25,127,675 25,130,487 25,131,686 - -
Announcement Date 11/26/21 11/25/22 11/22/23 11/21/24 11/25/25 - - -
1THB in Million2THB
Estimates

P/E, Detailed evolution

P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
10.65x1.34x8.18x5.44% 8.55B
13.48x3.38x10.43x2.57% 46.33B
11.9x2.82x9.34x7.07% 18.93B
16.43x3.76x12.74x3.4% 12.94B
87.4x8.51x52.66x0.15% 5.44B
39.88x4.6x25.2x0.78% 3.94B
26.27x3.19x14.18x2.75% 2.59B
53.49x4.08x28.64x0.85% 1.85B
30.14x2.16x17.29x2.28% 1.24B
Average 32.18x 3.76x 19.85x 2.81% 11.31B
Weighted average by Cap. 19.55x 3.47x 13.67x 3.53%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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  4. Valuation Thai Beverage