Projected Income Statement: Stef

Forecast Balance Sheet: Stef

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 945 1,073 1,046 1,340 1,533 1,509 1,471 1,427
Change - 13.54% -2.52% 28.11% 14.4% -1.58% -2.52% -2.99%
Announcement Date 3/10/22 3/9/23 3/7/24 3/13/25 3/12/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Stef

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 159.4 212.2 322 351.2 303.9 287.2 307.9 311.2
Change - 33.15% 51.72% 9.08% -13.47% -5.5% 7.21% 1.07%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 208.8 51.24 112 -50.1 -66.7 110 131 165.3
Change - -75.46% 118.56% -144.73% -33.13% 264.99% 19.08% 26.14%
Announcement Date 3/10/22 3/9/23 3/7/24 3/13/25 3/12/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Stef

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.21% 9.73% 9.61% 10.09% 8.5% 9.33% 9.94% 10.08%
EBIT Margin (%) 4.39% 4.77% 5.7% 4.76% 3.38% 4.23% 4.77% 4.75%
EBT Margin (%) - - - - - - - -
Net margin (%) 3.14% 3.43% 4.31% 3.27% 1.65% 2.55% 2.99% 3.33%
FCF margin (%) 5.95% 1.2% 2.52% -1.04% -1.3% 2.08% 2.4% 2.95%
FCF / Net Income (%) 189.82% 35% 58.46% -31.87% -79.12% 81.43% 80.25% 88.44%

Profitability

        
ROA - 4.63% 5.59% 6.18% 2.06% 3% 3.7% 4%
ROE 12.68% 15% 17.23% 12.77% 6.51% 9.81% 11.31% 11.55%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.64x 2.59x 2.45x 2.77x 3.52x 3.05x 2.71x 2.52x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.52x 20.93x 9.33x -26.75x -22.99x 13.71x 11.23x 8.64x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.55% 4.98% 7.25% 7.32% 5.94% 5.42% 5.65% 5.55%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 44.51% 51.17% 75.45% 72.52% 69.84% 58.07% 56.79% 54.99%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 76.34% 414.17% 287.5% -701.07% -455.66% 260.97% 234.95% 188.26%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 29.39 20.85 28.69 31.49 24.09 31.72 35.65 36.5
Change - -29.07% 37.58% 9.76% -23.5% 31.7% 12.38% 2.4%
Dividend per Share 1 3 4 5.1 4.15 2.7 4.107 5.143 5.653
Change - 33.33% 27.5% -18.63% -34.94% 52.1% 25.24% 9.92%
Book Value Per Share 1 73.67 83.76 87.33 97.04 103.7 111.7 121.5 130.3
Change - 13.7% 4.26% 11.12% 6.86% 7.73% 8.75% 7.28%
EPS 1 8.78 11.58 15.16 12.46 6.66 10.7 13.38 14.77
Change - 31.89% 30.92% -17.81% -46.55% 60.65% 25.1% 10.37%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 12,377 12,387 12,424 12,281 12,538 12,649 12,649 12,649
Announcement Date 3/10/22 3/9/23 3/7/24 3/13/25 3/12/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 11.1x 8.89x
PBR 1.07x 0.98x
EV / Sales 0.57x 0.55x
Yield 3.45% 4.32%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
3
Last Close Price
119.00EUR
Average target price
143.67EUR
Spread / Average Target
+20.73%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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