Projected Income Statement: SMCP SA

Forecast Balance Sheet: SMCP SA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 730 696 699 681 531 476 412 343
Change - -4.66% 0.43% -2.58% -22.03% -10.29% -13.45% -16.75%
Announcement Date 3/9/22 3/2/23 2/28/24 2/27/25 2/26/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: SMCP SA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 47.2 44.5 55.6 38.9 28 40.45 40.62 43.6
Change - -5.72% 24.94% -30.04% -28.02% 44.46% 0.43% 7.32%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 69.8 34.3 14.4 48.9 91.1 113.4 119.3 122.9
Change - -50.86% -58.02% 239.58% 86.3% 24.53% 5.16% 3%
Announcement Date 3/9/22 3/2/23 2/28/24 2/27/25 2/26/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: SMCP SA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 24.03% 22.11% 19.21% 17.86% 19% 20.19% 20.47% 20.86%
EBIT Margin (%) 9.18% 9.16% 6.46% 4.37% 7.82% 9.08% 9.43% 9.96%
EBT Margin (%) 3.44% 5.7% 1.84% -1.35% 2.52% 6.28% 7.81% 8.78%
Net margin (%) 2.27% 4.25% 0.91% -1.95% 1.36% 4.13% 4.59% 5.04%
FCF margin (%) 6.72% 2.84% 1.17% 4.04% 7.48% 9.27% 9.5% 9.52%
FCF / Net Income (%) 295.76% 66.86% 128.57% -207.2% 548.8% 224.1% 206.94% 188.82%

Profitability

        
ROA - - - - 1.59% 2.5% 2.5% 2.7%
ROE 2.13% 4.47% 0.95% 1.14% 3.03% 4.3% 4.91% 4.83%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.93x 2.61x 2.96x 3.15x 2.29x 1.92x 1.6x 1.27x
Debt / Free cash flow 10.46x 20.29x 48.51x 13.93x 5.82x 4.19x 3.46x 2.79x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.54% 3.69% 4.52% 3.21% 2.3% 3.3% 3.23% 3.38%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 18.91% 16.69% 23.52% 17.98% 12.11% 16.37% 15.79% 16.19%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 67.62% 129.74% 386.11% 79.55% 30.74% 35.65% 34.05% 35.48%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3.179 2.647 2.698 2.994 3.2 1.13 2.122 2.288
Change - -16.74% 1.93% 10.99% 6.85% -64.68% 87.76% 7.84%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 15.18 - 15.47 15.25 14.85 15.68 16.61 17.58
Change - - - -1.44% -2.6% 5.56% 5.98% 5.8%
EPS 1 0.3 0.65 0.14 -0.31 0.21 0.6561 0.7684 0.8698
Change - 116.67% -78.46% -321.43% 167.74% 212.43% 17.11% 13.2%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 75,183 75,595 75,170 75,438 78,660 78,374 78,374 78,374
Announcement Date 3/9/22 3/2/23 2/28/24 2/27/25 2/26/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 10.2x 8.72x
PBR 0.43x 0.4x
EV / Sales 0.82x 0.75x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
6.700EUR
Average target price
8.840EUR
Spread / Average Target
+31.94%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise