Projected Income Statement: SAP SE

Forecast Balance Sheet: SAP SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 3,914 4,509 -1,792 -1,695 -3,381 -2,089 -5,256 -11,960
Change - 15.2% -139.74% 5.41% -99.47% 38.21% -151.6% -127.55%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/23/24 1/28/25 1/29/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: SAP SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 825 874 785 797 739 829.1 1,022 1,190
Change - 5.94% -10.18% 1.53% -7.28% 12.19% 23.28% 16.44%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,010 4,348 5,530 4,113 8,239 10,102 11,500 13,089
Change - -13.21% 27.18% -25.62% 100.32% 22.61% 13.84% 13.81%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/23/24 1/28/25 1/29/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: SAP SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 35.93% 32.16% 32.35% 27.6% 31.88% 31.84% 32.82% 33.63%
EBIT Margin (%) 29.56% 26.02% 27.95% 23.86% 28.31% 29.39% 30.37% 31.21%
EBT Margin (%) 24.6% 10.02% 16.96% 13.94% 28.48% 28.61% 29.27% 30.64%
Net margin (%) 19.33% 5.55% 11.42% 9.14% 20.36% 20.29% 20.47% 21.38%
FCF margin (%) 17.99% 14.08% 17.72% 12.03% 22.39% 25.1% 25.56% 25.96%
FCF / Net Income (%) 93.07% 253.68% 155.16% 131.66% 109.97% 123.7% 124.83% 121.43%

Profitability

        
ROA 12.87% 6.35% 8.32% 7.42% 9.91% 11.04% 11.66% 12.58%
ROE 24.3% 11.52% 14.03% 11.93% 15.89% 17.85% 19.51% 20.71%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.39x 0.45x - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 0.78x 1.04x - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.96% 2.83% 2.52% 2.33% 2.01% 2.06% 2.27% 2.36%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 8.25% 8.8% 7.78% 8.45% 6.3% 6.47% 6.92% 7.02%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 16.47% 20.1% 14.2% 19.38% 8.97% 8.21% 8.89% 9.09%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.261 4.805 5.352 4.477 7.792 9.047 10.91 12.7
Change - -8.67% 11.38% -16.35% 74.06% 16.1% 20.55% 16.42%
Dividend per Share 1 1.95 2.05 2.2 2.35 2.5 2.675 3.005 3.404
Change - 5.13% 7.32% 6.82% 6.38% 6.99% 12.35% 13.29%
Book Value Per Share 1 33.02 34.3 36.95 38.97 38.38 40.09 42.91 48.54
Change - 3.9% 7.7% 5.48% -1.51% 4.45% 7.05% 13.12%
EPS 1 4.46 1.96 3.05 2.65 6.28 7.048 8.131 9.555
Change - -56.05% 55.61% -13.11% 136.98% 12.23% 15.36% 17.52%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,179,579 1,164,814 1,164,184 1,163,363 1,164,600 1,154,200 1,154,200 1,154,200
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/23/24 1/28/25 1/29/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 20.1x 17.5x
PBR 3.5x 3.26x
EV / Sales 3.97x 3.48x
Yield 1.91% 2.14%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
27
Last Close Price
151.28EUR
Average target price
201.95EUR
Spread / Average Target
+33.49%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise