Company Valuation: Novartis AG

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Market Cap 1 196,458 194,448 207,167 195,514 266,003 261,033 - -
Change - -1.02% 6.54% -5.62% 36.05% -1.87% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 204,649 203,482 219,178 213,458 289,870 292,618 288,929 281,913
Change - -0.57% 7.71% -2.61% 35.8% 0.95% -1.26% -2.43%
P/E 8.2x 28.3x 14.1x 16.5x 19.2x 19.4x 16.3x 14.2x
PBR 2.9x 3.23x 4.41x 4.52x 5.73x 5.51x 5.11x 4.58x
PEG - -0.4x 0x -1x 0.9x -10.46x 0.9x 0.9x
Capitalization / Revenue 3.81x 3.85x 4.44x 3.78x 4.69x 4.53x 4.26x 4x
EV / Revenue 3.96x 4.03x 4.7x 4.13x 5.11x 5.08x 4.71x 4.32x
EV / EBITDA 11.2x 10.9x 12.2x 10.2x 12.4x 12.6x 11.5x 10.4x
EV / EBIT 12.3x 12.2x 13.4x 10.9x 13.2x 13.4x 12.2x 11x
EV / FCF 15.4x 17x 16.6x 13.1x 16.5x 19x 17.1x 14.6x
FCF Yield 6.49% 5.87% 6.01% 7.61% 6.07% 5.26% 5.85% 6.86%
Dividend per Share 2 3.36 3.5 3.823 3.856 - 4.407 4.599 4.783
Rate of return 3.83% 3.87% 3.79% 3.94% - 3.21% 3.35% 3.48%
EPS 2 10.71 3.19 7.15 5.92 7.21 7.076 8.401 9.67
Distribution rate 31.4% 110% 53.5% 65.1% - 62.3% 54.7% 49.5%
Net sales 1 51,626 50,545 46,660 51,722 56,674 57,640 61,315 65,287
EBITDA 1 18,246 18,613 17,937 21,006 23,415 23,235 25,213 27,216
EBIT 1 16,588 16,665 16,372 19,494 21,889 21,800 23,628 25,569
Net income 1 24,021 6,955 14,854 11,939 13,967 14,190 15,746 17,587
Net Debt 1 8,191 9,034 12,011 17,944 23,867 31,584 27,896 20,880
Reference price 2 87.82 90.40 100.79 97.79 138.63 137.33 137.33 137.33
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,237,092 2,150,980 2,055,460 1,999,270 1,918,792 1,900,715 - -
Announcement Date 2/2/22 2/1/23 1/31/24 1/31/25 2/4/26 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

P/E, Detailed evolution



P/E (N) EV / Sales (N) EV / EBITDA (N) Dividend Yield (N) Capi.($)
31.77x11.54x23.41x0.62% 994B
29.54x - - 2.02% 640B
32.92x7.63x15.78x2.67% 454B
18.71x4.57x11.31x2.91% 337B
19.41x5.08x12.59x3.21% 261B
20.34x4.19x11.96x2.11% 246B
23.87x6.3x11.23x2.67% 204B
12.3x4.48x9.37x4.08% 190B
-43.47x6.35x24.81x2.29% 178B
Average 16.16x 6.27x 15.06x 2.51% 389.42B
Weighted average by Cap. 23.19x 7.72x 17.10x 2.05%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA



Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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