Company Valuation: Novartis AG

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Market Cap 1 196,458 194,448 207,167 195,514 266,003 306,772 - -
Change - -1.02% 6.54% -5.62% 36.05% 15.33% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 204,649 203,482 219,178 213,458 289,870 339,451 334,589 327,645
Change - -0.57% 7.71% -2.61% 35.8% 17.1% -1.43% -2.08%
P/E 8.2x 28.3x 14.1x 16.5x 19.2x 22.9x 19.5x 17x
PBR 2.9x 3.23x 4.41x 4.52x 5.73x 6.45x 6.02x 5.41x
PEG - -0.4x 0x -1x 0.9x -9.99x 1.1x 1.2x
Capitalization / Revenue 3.81x 3.85x 4.44x 3.78x 4.69x 5.32x 5x 4.71x
EV / Revenue 3.96x 4.03x 4.7x 4.13x 5.11x 5.89x 5.46x 5.03x
EV / EBITDA 11.2x 10.9x 12.2x 10.2x 12.4x 14.6x 13.3x 12x
EV / EBIT 12.3x 12.2x 13.4x 10.9x 13.2x 15.6x 14.1x 12.8x
EV / FCF 15.4x 17x 16.6x 13.1x 16.5x 22.1x 19.8x 16.9x
FCF Yield 6.49% 5.87% 6.01% 7.61% 6.07% 4.53% 5.05% 5.91%
Dividend per Share 2 3.36 3.5 3.823 3.856 - 4.371 4.559 4.741
Rate of return 3.83% 3.87% 3.79% 3.94% - 2.71% 2.82% 2.94%
EPS 2 10.71 3.19 7.15 5.92 7.21 7.045 8.281 9.485
Distribution rate 31.4% 110% 53.5% 65.1% - 62% 55.1% 50%
Net sales 1 51,626 50,545 46,660 51,722 56,674 57,649 61,309 65,194
EBITDA 1 18,246 18,613 17,937 21,006 23,415 23,251 25,200 27,207
EBIT 1 16,588 16,665 16,372 19,494 21,889 21,800 23,654 25,653
Net income 1 24,021 6,955 14,854 11,939 13,967 13,951 15,502 17,368
Net Debt 1 8,191 9,034 12,011 17,944 23,867 32,680 27,818 20,873
Reference price 2 87.82 90.40 100.79 97.79 138.63 161.40 161.40 161.40
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,237,092 2,150,980 2,055,460 1,999,270 1,918,792 1,900,715 - -
Announcement Date 2/2/22 2/1/23 1/31/24 1/31/25 2/4/26 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

P/E, Detailed evolution



P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
32.93x11.96x24.23x0.6% 1,031B
29.57x - - 2.02% 641B
32.73x7.6x15.79x2.67% 453B
19.66x4.67x11.58x2.83% 349B
21.66x5.59x13.87x2.87% 290B
20.88x4.29x12.24x2.06% 252B
27.19x7.03x12.5x2.35% 232B
13.11x4.72x9.86x3.87% 201B
-44.72x6.46x25.22x2.25% 181B
Average 17.00x 6.54x 15.66x 2.39% 403.31B
Weighted average by Cap. 23.95x 7.98x 17.64x 1.98%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA



Year-on-year evolution of the Yield