Projected Income Statement: Novartis AG

Forecast Balance Sheet: Novartis AG

Forecast Balance Sheet - Novartis AG
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 8,191 9,034 12,011 17,944 23,867 34,558 28,537 22,168
Change - 10.29% 32.95% 49.4% 33.01% 44.79% -17.42% -22.32%
Announcement Date 2/2/22 2/1/23 1/31/24 1/31/25 2/4/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Novartis AG

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,378 1,198 1,060 1,366 1,548 1,894 1,967 2,209
Change - -13.06% -11.52% 28.87% 13.32% 22.32% 3.9% 12.26%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 13,282 11,945 13,179 16,253 17,596 13,751 18,279 20,081
Change - -10.07% 10.33% 23.32% 8.26% -21.85% 32.93% 9.86%
Announcement Date 2/2/22 2/1/23 1/31/24 1/31/25 2/4/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Novartis AG

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 35.34% 36.82% 38.44% 40.61% 41.32% 41.41% 41.5% 41.78%
EBIT Margin (%) 32.13% 32.97% 35.09% 37.69% 38.62% 38.54% 39.01% 39.7%
EBT Margin (%) 50.63% 16.56% 19.55% 26.37% 28.85% 26.16% 30.25% 31.78%
Net margin (%) 46.53% 13.76% 31.83% 23.08% 24.64% 23.67% 26% 27.17%
FCF margin (%) 25.73% 23.63% 28.24% 31.42% 31.05% 23.96% 29.72% 30.79%
FCF / Net Income (%) 55.29% 171.75% 88.72% 136.13% 125.98% 101.24% 114.29% 113.32%

Profitability

        
ROA 10.86% 10.71% 12.37% 15.58% 16.33% 13.73% 14.73% 14.96%
ROE 22.69% 21.03% 25.37% 34.74% 38.4% 36% 37.74% 38.19%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.45x 0.49x 0.67x 0.85x 1.02x 1.45x 1.12x 0.81x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.62x 0.76x 0.91x 1.1x 1.36x 2.51x 1.56x 1.1x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.67% 2.37% 2.27% 2.64% 2.73% 3.3% 3.2% 3.39%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 7.55% 6.44% 5.91% 6.5% 6.61% 7.97% 7.71% 8.1%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 10.37% 10.03% 8.04% 8.4% 8.8% 13.77% 10.76% 11%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 6.669 6.48 6.911 8.658 9.792 9.66 11.19 12.56
Change - -2.83% 6.65% 25.28% 13.1% -1.35% 15.86% 12.21%
Dividend per Share 1 3.36 3.5 3.823 3.856 4.762 4.367 4.59 4.769
Change - 4.17% 9.23% 0.88% 23.49% -8.29% 5.11% 3.9%
Book Value Per Share 1 30.28 28 22.83 21.64 24.18 24.27 26.47 28.75
Change - -7.55% -18.45% -5.2% 11.69% 0.37% 9.07% 8.64%
EPS 1 10.71 3.19 7.15 5.92 7.21 7.003 8.599 9.727
Change - -70.21% 124.14% -17.2% 21.79% -2.88% 22.8% 13.11%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,237,092 2,150,980 2,055,460 1,999,270 1,918,792 1,888,624 1,888,624 1,888,624
Announcement Date 2/2/22 2/1/23 1/31/24 1/31/25 2/4/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 23.2x 18.9x
PBR 6.69x 6.13x
EV / Sales 5.95x 5.45x
Yield 2.69% 2.83%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Novartis AG


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Novartis AG
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Novartis AG
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
MarketScreener Ratings - Novartis AG
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
23
Last Close Price
162.35USD
Average target price
151.24USD
Spread / Average Target
-6.85%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Novartis AG