Projected Income Statement: Informa plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Informa plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,444 245 1,456 3,202 3,066 2,820 2,413 2,009
Change - -83.03% 494.29% 119.92% -4.25% -8.03% -14.43% -16.74%
Announcement Date 3/15/22 3/9/23 3/8/24 3/6/25 3/12/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Informa plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 48.8 67.5 93.8 100 106.9 116.2 124 130.8
Change - 38.32% 38.96% 6.61% 6.9% 8.7% 6.72% 5.5%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 422.8 383.4 526.4 701.6 769.4 801.2 939.3 1,022
Change - -9.32% 37.3% 33.28% 9.66% 4.13% 17.23% 8.81%
Announcement Date 3/15/22 3/9/23 3/8/24 3/6/25 3/12/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Informa plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 25.75% 23.7% 29.2% 30.51% 30.52% 31.16% 31.57% 32.06%
EBIT Margin (%) 21.59% 22.39% 26.77% 28% 28.2% 28.3% 29.24% 29.5%
EBT Margin (%) 7.62% 81.48% 15.43% 11.46% -1.59% 15.45% 17.49% 18.87%
Net margin (%) 4.33% 68.28% 13.14% 8.38% 0.27% 10.96% 12.8% 13.62%
FCF margin (%) 23.51% 16.05% 16.5% 19.75% 19.04% 18.52% 20.08% 20.8%
FCF / Net Income (%) 542.75% 23.5% 125.63% 235.67% 6,994.55% 169.02% 156.82% 152.66%

Profitability

        
ROA 0.78% 3.46% 5.37% 2.36% 0.09% 3.98% 5.06% 5.49%
ROE 4.49% 5.98% 9.14% 10.18% 12.01% 12.79% 14.68% 15.66%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.12x 0.43x 1.56x 2.95x 2.49x 2.09x 1.63x 1.28x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.42x 0.64x 2.77x 4.56x 3.99x 3.52x 2.57x 1.97x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.71% 2.83% 2.94% 2.81% 2.65% 2.69% 2.65% 2.66%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 10.54% 11.92% 10.07% 9.23% 8.67% 8.62% 8.4% 8.3%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 11.54% 17.61% 17.82% 14.25% 13.89% 14.5% 13.2% 12.8%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.3123 0.3079 0.4421 0.5964 0.6689 0.7306 0.8708 0.9284
Change - -1.4% 43.57% 34.9% 12.16% 9.22% 19.19% 6.61%
Dividend per Share 1 - 0.098 0.18 0.2 0.22 0.2308 0.262 0.2862
Change - - 83.67% 11.11% 10% 4.92% 13.52% 9.24%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.831 5.042 4.811 4.825 - 4.333 4.523 4.721
Change - 31.62% -4.58% 0.3% - - 4.37% 4.38%
EPS 1 0.052 1.114 0.299 0.222 0.008 0.3711 0.4434 0.55
Change - 2,042.31% -73.16% -25.75% -96.4% 4,538.5% 19.5% 24.03%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,501,965 1,416,075 1,365,880 1,322,206 1,281,549 1,254,458 1,254,458 1,254,458
Announcement Date 3/15/22 3/9/23 3/8/24 3/6/25 3/12/26 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 24.3x 20.3x
PBR 2.08x 1.99x
EV / Sales 3.27x 2.93x
Yield 2.56% 2.91%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
9.014GBP
Average target price
10.67GBP
Spread / Average Target
+18.37%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise