Projected Income Statement: IBM

Forecast Balance Sheet: IBM

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 44,147 42,108 43,085 40,168 46,789 50,630 42,061 32,720
Change - -4.62% 2.32% -6.77% 16.48% 8.21% -16.92% -22.21%
Announcement Date 1/24/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/29/25 1/28/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: IBM

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,381 1,860 1,488 1,127 1,617 1,633 1,690 1,724
Change - -21.88% -20% -24.26% 43.48% 1.01% 3.49% 1.98%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 6,508 9,291 11,210 12,749 14,734 15,680 16,977 18,401
Change - 42.76% 20.65% 13.73% 15.57% 6.42% 8.27% 8.39%
Announcement Date 1/24/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/29/25 1/28/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: IBM

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) - 24.35% 24.97% 26.13% 28.43% 28.65% 29.51% 29.87%
EBIT Margin (%) - 16.42% 17.87% 17.95% 20.92% 21.35% 21.81% 22.6%
EBT Margin (%) 8.43% 1.91% 14.05% 9.24% 15.29% 16.45% 18.15% 19.61%
Net margin (%) 10.01% 2.71% 12.13% 9.6% 15.69% 13.9% 15.45% 16.25%
FCF margin (%) 11.35% 15.35% 18.12% 20.32% 21.82% 21.94% 22.75% 23.32%
FCF / Net Income (%) 113.32% 566.87% 149.43% 211.67% 139.09% 157.79% 147.22% 143.52%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.99% 6.42% 5.73% 7.11% 7.61% 7.45% 7.76% 8.21%
ROE 36.33% 40.77% 33.79% 38.86% 36.67% 33% 29.82% 26.92%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 2.86x 2.79x 2.45x 2.44x 2.47x 1.91x 1.39x
Debt / Free cash flow 6.78x 4.53x 3.84x 3.15x 3.18x 3.23x 2.48x 1.78x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.15% 3.07% 2.41% 1.8% 2.39% 2.29% 2.26% 2.18%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) - 12.62% 9.63% 6.87% 8.42% 7.98% 7.67% 7.31%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 36.59% 20.02% 13.27% 8.84% 10.97% 10.42% 9.96% 9.37%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 14.15 11.44 15.11 14.35 13.91 18.88 18.52 20.4
Change - -19.14% 32.08% -5.04% -3.06% 35.79% -1.92% 10.14%
Dividend per Share 1 6.55 6.52 6.63 6.67 - 6.75 6.792 6.868
Change - -0.46% 1.69% 0.6% - - 0.63% 1.11%
Book Value Per Share 1 21.09 24.31 24.63 29.48 - 40.97 47.93 56.08
Change - 15.24% 1.3% 19.71% - - 17.01% 16.99%
EPS 1 6.35 1.8 8.14 6.43 11.17 10.28 11.74 13.44
Change - -71.65% 352.22% -21.01% 73.72% -7.93% 14.13% 14.52%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 896,800 904,126 913,119 924,645 934,735 939,885 939,885 939,885
Announcement Date 1/24/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/29/25 1/28/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E Ratio 26.3x 23.1x
PBR 6.61x 5.65x
EV / Sales 4.27x 3.97x
Yield 2.49% 2.51%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
22
Last Close Price
270.81USD
Average target price
290.89USD
Spread / Average Target
+7.41%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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