Projected Income Statement: IBM

Forecast Balance Sheet: IBM

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 44,147 42,108 43,085 40,168 46,789 50,630 42,061 32,720
Change - -4.62% 2.32% -6.77% 16.48% 8.21% -16.92% -22.21%
Announcement Date 1/24/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/29/25 1/28/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: IBM

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,381 1,860 1,488 1,127 1,617 1,643 1,700 1,741
Change - -21.88% -20% -24.26% 43.48% 1.61% 3.47% 2.39%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 6,508 9,291 11,210 12,749 14,734 15,645 16,882 18,369
Change - 42.76% 20.65% 13.73% 15.57% 6.18% 7.91% 8.8%
Announcement Date 1/24/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/29/25 1/28/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: IBM

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) - 24.35% 24.97% 26.13% 28.43% 28.66% 29.54% 29.95%
EBIT Margin (%) - 16.42% 17.87% 17.95% 20.92% 21.36% 21.83% 22.66%
EBT Margin (%) 8.43% 1.91% 14.05% 9.24% 15.29% 16.44% 18.31% 19.93%
Net margin (%) 10.01% 2.71% 12.13% 9.6% 15.69% 13.96% 15.52% 16.44%
FCF margin (%) 11.35% 15.35% 18.12% 20.32% 21.82% 21.87% 22.62% 23.32%
FCF / Net Income (%) 113.32% 566.87% 149.43% 211.67% 139.09% 156.72% 145.69% 141.83%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.99% 6.42% 5.73% 7.11% 7.61% 6.88% 7.38% 7.95%
ROE 36.33% 40.77% 33.79% 38.86% 36.67% 33.14% 29.83% 26.93%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 2.86x 2.79x 2.45x 2.44x 2.47x 1.91x 1.39x
Debt / Free cash flow 6.78x 4.53x 3.84x 3.15x 3.18x 3.24x 2.49x 1.78x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.15% 3.07% 2.41% 1.8% 2.39% 2.3% 2.28% 2.21%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) - 12.62% 9.63% 6.87% 8.42% 8.02% 7.71% 7.38%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 36.59% 20.02% 13.27% 8.84% 10.97% 10.5% 10.07% 9.48%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 14.15 11.44 15.11 14.35 13.91 18.89 18.67 20.4
Change - -19.14% 32.08% -5.04% -3.06% 35.84% -1.15% 9.24%
Dividend per Share 1 6.55 6.52 6.63 6.67 - 6.75 6.792 6.868
Change - -0.46% 1.69% 0.6% - - 0.63% 1.11%
Book Value Per Share 1 21.09 24.31 24.63 29.48 - 40.99 47.97 56.13
Change - 15.24% 1.3% 19.71% - - 17.04% 17.01%
EPS 1 6.35 1.8 8.14 6.43 11.17 10.31 11.78 13.44
Change - -71.65% 352.22% -21.01% 73.72% -7.67% 14.17% 14.15%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 896,800 904,126 913,119 924,645 934,735 939,885 939,885 939,885
Announcement Date 1/24/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/29/25 1/28/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 29.7x 26x
PBR 7.47x 6.38x
EV / Sales 4.73x 4.42x
Yield 2.2% 2.22%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
23
Last Close Price
306.13USD
Average target price
294.57USD
Spread / Average Target
-3.78%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise