Projected Income Statement: ERICSSON

Forecast Balance Sheet: ERICSSON

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -35,151 -14,155 2,099 -18,390 -23,938 -50,899 -58,976 -67,699
Change - 59.73% 114.83% -976.13% -30.17% -112.63% -15.87% -14.79%
Announcement Date 1/25/22 1/20/23 1/23/24 1/24/25 1/23/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: ERICSSON

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,548 4,228 3,297 2,340 2,630 3,194 3,260 3,502
Change - 19.17% -22.02% -29.03% 12.39% 21.45% 2.07% 7.42%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 35,517 26,635 3,880 43,921 26,769 23,063 24,443 25,124
Change - -25.01% -85.43% 1,031.98% -39.05% -13.85% 5.99% 2.79%
Announcement Date 1/25/22 1/20/23 1/23/24 1/24/25 1/23/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: ERICSSON

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 17.78% 13.98% 11.42% 20.32% 21.22% 16.44% 16.55% 16.64%
EBIT Margin (%) 13.9% 10.1% 6.87% 9.95% 17.31% 12.82% 13.34% 13.36%
EBT Margin (%) 12.59% 9.06% -8.85% 1.04% 16.18% 10.59% 12.08% 12.72%
Net margin (%) 9.9% 6.9% -10.04% 0.01% 12.01% 8.21% 9.22% 9.39%
FCF margin (%) 15.29% 9.81% 1.47% 17.72% 11.31% 10.16% 10.53% 10.64%
FCF / Net Income (%) 154.42% 142.25% -14.67% 219,605% 94.16% 123.73% 114.29% 113.3%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.86% 7.41% -8.18% 0.01% 9.95% 7.24% 8% 7.96%
ROE 23.2% 15.37% 10.38% 3.07% 29.61% 19.03% 20.93% 21.1%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - 0.07x - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - 0.54x - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.53% 1.56% 1.25% 0.94% 1.11% 1.41% 1.41% 1.48%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 8.59% 11.14% 10.96% 4.65% 5.24% 8.56% 8.49% 8.91%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 9.99% 15.87% 84.97% 5.33% 9.82% 13.85% 13.34% 13.94%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 11.72 9.257 2.155 13.88 9.887 7.868 8.589 9.073
Change - -21.04% -76.72% 544.19% -28.79% -20.43% 9.17% 5.63%
Dividend per Share 1 2.5 2.5 2.7 2.85 3 3.1 3.242 3.405
Change - 0% 8% 5.56% 5.26% 3.33% 4.59% 5.01%
Book Value Per Share 1 32.64 40.44 29.25 28.3 32.86 33.3 35.58 38.24
Change - 23.9% -27.66% -3.27% 16.14% 1.33% 6.85% 7.47%
EPS 1 6.81 5.62 -7.94 0.01 8.51 5.423 6.454 6.865
Change - -17.47% -241.28% 100.13% 85,000% -36.28% 19.01% 6.38%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 3,329,738 3,330,142 3,330,142 3,332,672 3,333,287 3,304,253 3,304,253 3,304,253
Announcement Date 1/25/22 1/20/23 1/23/24 1/24/25 1/23/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 20.7x 17.4x
PBR 3.37x 3.16x
EV / Sales 1.41x 1.35x
Yield 2.76% 2.89%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
112.35SEK
Average target price
99.35SEK
Spread / Average Target
-11.57%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise