Projected Income Statement: DCC plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: DCC plc

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 757 767 1,147 1,152 1,080 876 676 436
Change - 1.32% 49.54% 0.44% -6.25% -18.91% -22.83% -35.5%
Announcement Date 5/17/22 5/16/23 5/14/24 5/13/25 5/19/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: DCC plc

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 194.4 229.4 230.4 214.3 209.5 207.9 204.5 207.1
Change - 18.05% 0.4% -6.97% -2.25% -0.73% -1.64% 1.27%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 257.4 427.5 491.7 367.7 463 434.3 467 479.8
Change - 66.06% 15.02% -25.21% 25.91% -6.21% 7.54% 2.74%
Announcement Date 5/17/22 5/16/23 5/14/24 5/13/25 5/19/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: DCC plc

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 4.1% 3.94% 4.65% 5.32% 5.7% 5.39% 5.51% 5.5%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.32% 2.95% 3.44% 3.91% 4.14% 3.99% 4.11% 4.13%
EBT Margin (%) 2.29% 1.94% 2.13% 1.64% 2.42% 2.71% 2.89% 3.06%
Net margin (%) 1.76% 1.5% 1.64% 1.15% 0.09% 2.06% 2.21% 2.3%
FCF margin (%) 1.45% 1.93% 2.48% 2.04% 3% 2.63% 2.82% 2.82%
FCF / Net Income (%) 82.41% 127.98% 150.7% 178.09% 3,466.3% 127.61% 127.33% 122.88%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.05% 3.74% 3.38% 4.96% 4.72% 4.29% 4.5% 4.71%
ROE 12.83% 12.33% 14.81% 15.09% 15.5% 15.86% 16.27% 15.57%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.04x 0.88x 1.24x 1.2x 1.23x 0.99x 0.74x 0.47x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.94x 1.8x 2.33x 3.13x 2.33x 2.02x 1.45x 0.91x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.1% 1.03% 1.16% 1.19% 1.36% 1.26% 1.23% 1.22%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 26.73% 26.21% 24.96% 22.38% 23.79% 23.39% 22.39% 22.15%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 75.5% 53.67% 46.85% 58.27% 45.24% 47.88% 43.79% 43.17%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.581 6.648 7.3 5.875 7.108 6.997 7.607 7.983
Change - 45.11% 9.8% -19.52% 20.99% -1.56% 8.72% 4.94%
Dividend per Share 1 1.758 1.872 1.966 2.064 2.167 2.223 2.306 2.436
Change - 6.5% 5% 5% 5% 2.59% 3.73% 5.62%
Book Value Per Share 1 29.46 30.17 31.29 31.02 23.9 28.77 30.64 33.79
Change - 2.41% 3.71% -0.85% -22.97% 20.4% 6.47% 10.29%
EPS 1 3.164 3.38 3.298 2.084 0.1412 3.963 4.287 4.67
Change - 6.85% -2.42% -36.81% -93.23% 2,706.81% 8.18% 8.91%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 98,646 98,747 98,852 98,966 85,424 85,424 85,424 85,424
Announcement Date 5/17/22 5/16/23 5/14/24 5/13/25 5/19/26 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 16x 14.8x
PBR 2.2x 2.07x
EV / Sales 0.38x 0.37x
Yield 3.51% 3.64%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
9
Last Close Price
63.30GBP
Average target price
66.47GBP
Spread / Average Target
+5.01%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise