Projected Income Statement: BP PLC

Forecast Balance Sheet: BP PLC

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 38,826 21,422 20,912 22,997 22,182 15,230 8,567 9,353
Change - -44.83% -2.38% 9.97% -3.54% -31.34% -43.75% 9.17%
Announcement Date 2/8/22 2/7/23 2/6/24 2/11/25 2/10/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: BP PLC

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 10,887 16,330 14,285 15,297 14,533 13,778 13,874 13,946
Change - 50% -12.52% 7.08% -4.99% -5.2% 0.7% 0.52%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 12,725 24,602 17,754 12,000 9,960 21,545 15,361 12,168
Change - 93.34% -27.84% -32.41% -17% 116.32% -28.71% -20.78%
Announcement Date 2/8/22 2/7/23 2/6/24 2/11/25 2/10/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: BP PLC

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 23.55% 25.01% 20.45% 19.69% 19.69% 22.36% 20.65% 19.08%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.16% 19.07% 12.87% 10.9% 10.27% 15.2% 12.39% 10.46%
EBT Margin (%) 9.65% 6.38% 11.3% 3.58% 4.09% 13.51% 10.63% 8.84%
Net margin (%) 4.8% -1.03% 7.25% 0.2% 0.03% 7.27% 6.05% 5.25%
FCF margin (%) 8.07% 10.19% 8.45% 6.34% 5.26% 9.51% 7.44% 6.08%
FCF / Net Income (%) 168.21% -989.22% 116.5% 3,149.61% 18,109.09% 130.83% 122.94% 115.93%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.73% 9.61% 4.87% 3.17% 2.67% 6.21% 4.75% 3.75%
ROE 10.31% 38.67% 20.08% 13.77% 13.33% 26.3% 17.21% 14.24%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.05x 0.35x 0.49x 0.62x 0.6x 0.3x 0.2x 0.25x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.05x 0.87x 1.18x 1.92x 2.23x 0.71x 0.56x 0.77x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.9% 6.76% 6.8% 8.09% 7.68% 6.08% 6.72% 6.97%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 29.31% 27.05% 33.25% 41.07% 38.99% 27.2% 32.54% 36.55%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 85.56% 66.38% 80.46% 127.48% 145.91% 63.95% 90.32% 114.61%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.165 2.156 1.805 1.623 1.539 2.355 1.925 1.789
Change - 84.98% -16.27% -10.07% -5.18% 53.01% -18.28% -7.04%
Dividend per Share 1 0.2163 0.2408 0.2842 0.3127 0.3296 0.3408 0.3554 0.3711
Change - 11.34% 18.01% 10.03% 5.4% 3.39% 4.3% 4.41%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.725 3.558 4.177 3.738 3.45 4.296 4.592 4.774
Change - -4.48% 17.41% -10.52% -7.7% 24.52% 6.9% 3.97%
EPS 1 0.3733 -0.131 0.8585 0.0232 0.0034 1.119 0.8274 0.6949
Change - -135.09% 755.34% -97.3% -85.34% 32,808.53% -26.05% -16.01%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 19,593,397 18,157,212 16,930,452 15,828,940 15,297,154 15,453,512 15,453,512 15,453,512
Announcement Date 2/8/22 2/7/23 2/6/24 2/11/25 2/10/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 6.66x 9x
PBR 1.73x 1.62x
EV / Sales 0.58x 0.6x
Yield 4.58% 4.77%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
7.446USD
Average target price
8.435USD
Spread / Average Target
+13.28%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise