Projected Income Statement: Aspo Oyj

Forecast Balance Sheet: Aspo Oyj

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 167 156 165 188 213 136 171 149
Change - -6.59% 5.77% 13.94% 13.3% -36.09% 25.74% -12.87%
Announcement Date 2/16/22 2/15/23 2/16/24 2/17/25 2/16/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Aspo Oyj

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 16.9 17.8 21.8 49.7 34.3 41.1 60.8 19.47
Change - 5.33% 22.47% 127.98% -30.99% 19.83% 47.93% -67.98%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 27.5 34.4 27.3 -36.1 14.6 19.8 9.66 28.2
Change - 25.09% -20.64% -232.23% 140.44% 35.62% -51.21% 191.93%
Announcement Date 2/16/22 2/15/23 2/16/24 2/17/25 2/16/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Aspo Oyj

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 13.11% 14.28% 11.19% 11.47% 13.28% 12.45% 13.63% 13.91%
EBIT Margin (%) 7.23% 8.59% 4.94% 4.91% 6.99% 7.01% 7.31% 7.86%
EBT Margin (%) 5.63% 4.29% 3.09% 1.69% 5.39% 7.68% 5.56% 6.72%
Net margin (%) 4.31% 3.22% 0.3% 1.23% 5.01% 6.85% 4.08% 4.89%
FCF margin (%) 4.69% 5.35% 5.09% -6.09% 3.11% 4.03% 1.94% 5.42%
FCF / Net Income (%) 108.7% 166.18% 1,706.25% -494.52% 62.13% 58.84% 47.43% 110.88%

Profitability

        
ROA 9.01% 5.04% 0.4% - - - - -
ROE 20.8% 15.2% 1.2% 4.4% 15.9% 21.5% 12.13% 14.4%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.18x 1.69x 2.75x 2.76x 3.42x 2.23x 2.52x 2.06x
Debt / Free cash flow 6.09x 4.53x 6.05x -5.21x 14.58x 6.87x 17.73x 5.28x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.88% 2.77% 4.06% 8.39% 7.31% 8.37% 12.19% 3.74%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 21.98% 19.37% 36.33% 73.09% 55.06% 67.23% 89.46% 26.91%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 61.45% 51.74% 79.85% -137.67% 234.93% 207.58% 629.4% 69.03%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.322 1.995 1.516 1.031 - 1.7 1.625 1.39
Change - 50.94% -23.99% -31.98% - - -4.41% -14.46%
Dividend per Share 1 0.23 0.46 0.47 0.19 0.25 0.265 0.3167 0.3567
Change - 100% 2.17% -59.57% 31.58% 6% 19.5% 12.63%
Book Value Per Share 1 4.14 4.58 4.47 5.13 4.58 5.394 5.566 5.962
Change - 10.63% -2.4% 14.77% -10.72% 17.77% 3.18% 7.12%
EPS 1 0.76 0.61 0.0444 0.14 0.72 1.07 0.6467 0.77
Change - -19.74% -92.72% 215.32% 414.29% 48.61% -39.56% 19.07%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 31,258 31,358 31,404 31,418 31,312 31,339 31,339 31,339
Announcement Date 2/16/22 2/15/23 2/16/24 2/17/25 2/16/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 6.73x 11.1x
PBR 1.33x 1.29x
EV / Sales 0.74x 0.8x
Yield 3.68% 4.4%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
2
Last Close Price
7.200EUR
Average target price
7.400EUR
Spread / Average Target
+2.78%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

-40%: Exceptional extension
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