Projected Income Statement: Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet - Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc.
Fiscal Period: April 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 7,296 8,632 13,163 11,693 13,335 11,985 11,083 8,851
Change - 18.31% 52.49% -11.17% 14.04% -10.12% -7.53% -20.14%
Announcement Date 6/28/22 6/27/23 6/25/24 6/25/25 6/22/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc.

Fiscal Period: April 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 1,664 1,804 1,943 2,327 1,990 2,131 2,380 2,397
Change - 8.37% 7.72% 19.74% -14.45% 7.05% 11.7% 0.7%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,280 2,541 2,874 2,710 3,373 3,384 3,604 3,952
Change - 11.42% 13.12% -5.69% 24.43% 0.34% 6.51% 9.65%
Announcement Date 6/28/22 6/27/23 6/25/24 6/25/25 6/22/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc.

Fiscal Period: April 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 8.38% 8.04% 8.11% 8.18% 8.78% 8% 8.78% 9.25%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.92% 5.91% 5.56% 5.29% 5.69% 5.11% 5.58% 6.1%
EBT Margin (%) - 5.47% 4.98% 4.56% 5.34% 4.38% 4.81% 5.15%
Net margin (%) 4.27% 4.3% 3.94% 3.54% 4.11% 3.4% 3.72% 4.17%
FCF margin (%) 3.63% 3.54% 4.15% 3.72% 4.41% 3.86% 4.14% 4.6%
FCF / Net Income (%) 84.98% 82.2% 105.29% 105.04% 107.28% 113.43% 111.21% 110.49%

Profitability

        
ROA 9.55% 10.54% 8.28% 6.83% 7.68% 6.79% 7.24% 8.5%
ROE 21.8% 24.7% 21.2% 18.3% 20.2% 17.52% 18.41% 18.99%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.39x 1.49x 2.34x 1.96x 1.99x 1.71x 1.45x 1.11x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.2x 3.4x 4.58x 4.31x 3.95x 3.54x 3.07x 2.24x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.65% 2.51% 2.81% 3.19% 2.6% 2.43% 2.73% 2.79%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 31.61% 31.23% 34.61% 39.04% 29.65% 30.37% 31.14% 30.17%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 72.99% 70.99% 67.61% 85.84% 59.02% 62.97% 66.03% 60.65%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3.709 4.304 4.975 5.299 5.751 6.154 6.526 6.65
Change - 16.02% 15.61% 6.5% 8.53% 7.01% 6.05% 1.9%
Dividend per Share 1 0.3239 0.4002 0.487 0.5527 0.5931 0.7039 0.7634 0.7628
Change - 23.58% 21.67% 13.5% 7.31% 18.68% 8.46% -0.09%
Book Value Per Share 1 11.7 12.45 - 15.72 17.61 19.28 20.08 22.67
Change - 6.42% - - 11.98% 9.51% 4.15% 12.88%
EPS 1 2.52 3.06 2.82 2.71 3.37 3.252 3.635 4.02
Change - 21.43% -7.84% -3.9% 24.35% -3.51% 11.79% 10.59%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,035,691 981,333 961,787 948,064 918,230 917,963 917,963 917,963
Announcement Date 6/28/22 6/27/23 6/25/24 6/25/25 6/22/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 18.3x 16.4x
PBR 3.09x 2.97x
EV / Sales 0.76x 0.76x
Yield 1.18% 1.28%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc.


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc.
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc.
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
MarketScreener Ratings - Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc.
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
59.58USD
Average target price
72.17USD
Spread / Average Target
+21.13%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc.
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