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Real-time Estimate
TE
11:45:42 2026-09-30 EDT
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 77.69 CAD | -0.35% |
|
-1.10% | +3.56% |
| 09-18 | Ito-Yokado owner pursuing lower prices to attract inflation-hit shoppers, CEO says | RE |
| 09-08 | JPMorgan hires senior CPPIB executive as bank expands in Canadian equities | RE |
Projected Income Statement: Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc.
| Fiscal Period: April | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 62,810 | 71,857 | 69,264 | 72,857 | 76,507 | 87,422 | 86,369 | 84,733 |
| Change | - | 14.4% | -3.61% | 5.19% | 5.01% | 14.27% | -1.2% | -1.9% |
| EBITDA 1 | 5,266 | 5,775 | 5,614 | 5,959 | 6,714 | 6,996 | 7,635 | 7,799 |
| Change | - | 9.67% | -2.79% | 6.15% | 12.66% | 4.21% | 9.13% | 2.15% |
| EBIT 1 | 3,720 | 4,250 | 3,854 | 3,854 | 4,355 | 4,468 | 4,806 | 5,082 |
| Change | - | 14.22% | -9.3% | -0% | 13.01% | 2.58% | 7.57% | 5.76% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -281 | -306.7 | -387.9 | -512.5 | -580.2 | -613.7 | -611.3 | -587 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | - | 3,929 | 3,448 | 3,322 | 4,085 | 3,882 | 4,221 | 4,419 |
| Change | - | - | -12.24% | -3.65% | 22.96% | -4.98% | 8.74% | 4.69% |
| Net income 1 | 2,683 | 3,091 | 2,730 | 2,580 | 3,144 | 2,994 | 3,244 | 3,426 |
| Change | - | 15.19% | -11.69% | -5.47% | 21.83% | -4.75% | 8.33% | 5.61% |
| Announcement Date | 6/28/22 | 6/27/23 | 6/25/24 | 6/25/25 | 6/22/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc.
| Fiscal Period: April | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 7,296 | 8,632 | 13,163 | 11,693 | 13,335 | 12,070 | 11,298 | 8,851 |
| Change | - | 18.31% | 52.49% | -11.17% | 14.04% | -9.48% | -6.4% | -21.66% |
| Announcement Date | 6/28/22 | 6/27/23 | 6/25/24 | 6/25/25 | 6/22/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc.
| Fiscal Period: April | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 1,664 | 1,804 | 1,943 | 2,327 | 1,990 | 2,144 | 2,390 | 2,388 |
| Change | - | 8.37% | 7.72% | 19.74% | -14.45% | 7.72% | 11.46% | -0.08% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 2,280 | 2,541 | 2,874 | 2,710 | 3,373 | 3,378 | 3,629 | 3,952 |
| Change | - | 11.42% | 13.12% | -5.69% | 24.43% | 0.15% | 7.43% | 8.9% |
| Announcement Date | 6/28/22 | 6/27/23 | 6/25/24 | 6/25/25 | 6/22/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc.
| Fiscal Period: April | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 8.38% | 8.04% | 8.11% | 8.18% | 8.78% | 8% | 8.84% | 9.2% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 5.92% | 5.91% | 5.56% | 5.29% | 5.69% | 5.11% | 5.56% | 6% |
| EBT Margin (%) | - | 5.47% | 4.98% | 4.56% | 5.34% | 4.44% | 4.89% | 5.22% |
| Net margin (%) | 4.27% | 4.3% | 3.94% | 3.54% | 4.11% | 3.43% | 3.76% | 4.04% |
| FCF margin (%) | 3.63% | 3.54% | 4.15% | 3.72% | 4.41% | 3.86% | 4.2% | 4.66% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 84.98% | 82.2% | 105.29% | 105.04% | 107.28% | 112.81% | 111.87% | 115.37% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 9.55% | 10.54% | 8.28% | 6.83% | 7.68% | 6.86% | 7.27% | 8.5% |
| ROE | 21.8% | 24.7% | 21.2% | 18.3% | 20.2% | 17.61% | 18.7% | 19.09% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.39x | 1.49x | 2.34x | 1.96x | 1.99x | 1.73x | 1.48x | 1.13x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 3.2x | 3.4x | 4.58x | 4.31x | 3.95x | 3.57x | 3.11x | 2.24x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 2.65% | 2.51% | 2.81% | 3.19% | 2.6% | 2.45% | 2.77% | 2.82% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 31.61% | 31.23% | 34.61% | 39.04% | 29.65% | 30.65% | 31.3% | 30.62% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 72.99% | 70.99% | 67.61% | 85.84% | 59.02% | 63.48% | 65.86% | 60.43% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 3.709 | 4.304 | 4.975 | 5.299 | 5.751 | 6.154 | 6.526 | 6.65 |
| Change | - | 16.02% | 15.61% | 6.5% | 8.53% | 7.01% | 6.05% | 1.9% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.3239 | 0.4002 | 0.487 | 0.5527 | 0.5931 | 0.6708 | 0.7306 | 0.7488 |
| Change | - | 23.58% | 21.67% | 13.5% | 7.31% | 13.11% | 8.91% | 2.48% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 11.7 | 12.45 | - | 15.72 | 17.61 | 19.28 | 20.08 | 22.67 |
| Change | - | 6.42% | - | - | 11.98% | 9.51% | 4.15% | 12.88% |
| EPS 1 | 2.52 | 3.06 | 2.82 | 2.71 | 3.37 | 3.262 | 3.62 | 3.877 |
| Change | - | 21.43% | -7.84% | -3.9% | 24.35% | -3.2% | 10.97% | 7.09% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 1,035,691 | 981,333 | 961,787 | 948,064 | 918,230 | 917,963 | 917,963 | 917,963 |
| Announcement Date | 6/28/22 | 6/27/23 | 6/25/24 | 6/25/25 | 6/22/26 | - | - | - |
| 2027 * | 2028 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 16.8x | 15.2x |
| PBR | 2.85x | 2.73x |
| EV / Sales | 0.71x | 0.71x |
| Yield | 1.22% | 1.33% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Global
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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