Projected Income Statement: Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc.

Fiscal Period: April 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 7,296 8,632 13,163 11,693 13,335 12,478 11,517 9,868
Change - 18.31% 52.49% -11.17% 14.04% -6.42% -7.7% -14.32%
Announcement Date 6/28/22 6/27/23 6/25/24 6/25/25 6/22/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc.

Fiscal Period: April 2022 2023 2024 2025 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 1,664 1,804 1,943 2,327 2,277 2,356 2,429
Change - 8.37% 7.72% 19.74% - 3.45% 3.13%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,280 2,541 2,874 2,710 3,272 3,424 3,742
Change - 11.42% 13.12% -5.69% - 4.66% 9.27%
Announcement Date 6/28/22 6/27/23 6/25/24 6/25/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc.

Fiscal Period: April 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 8.38% 8.04% 8.11% 8.18% 8.78% 8.27% 8.98% 9.38%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.92% 5.91% 5.56% 5.29% 5.69% 5.3% 5.69% 6.1%
EBT Margin (%) - 5.47% 4.98% 4.56% 5.34% 4.62% 5% 5.38%
Net margin (%) 4.27% 4.3% 3.94% 3.54% 4.11% 3.55% 3.83% 4.18%
FCF margin (%) 3.63% 3.54% 4.15% 3.72% - 3.87% 4.09% 4.44%
FCF / Net Income (%) 84.98% 82.2% 105.29% 105.04% - 109.17% 106.65% 106.29%

Profitability

        
ROA 9.55% 10.54% 8.28% 6.83% 7.68% 7.18% 7.48% 8.53%
ROE 21.8% 24.7% 21.2% 18.3% 20.2% 18.26% 19.03% 19.76%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.39x 1.49x 2.34x 1.96x 1.99x 1.79x 1.53x 1.25x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.2x 3.4x 4.58x 4.31x - 3.81x 3.36x 2.64x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.65% 2.51% 2.81% 3.19% - 2.7% 2.81% 2.89%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 31.61% 31.23% 34.61% 39.04% - 32.62% 31.29% 30.75%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 72.99% 70.99% 67.61% 85.84% - 69.59% 68.79% 64.93%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3.709 4.304 4.975 5.299 - 6.145 6.577 7.08
Change - 16.02% 15.61% 6.5% - - 7.04% 7.64%
Dividend per Share 1 0.3239 0.4002 0.487 0.5527 0.5931 0.6521 0.7147 0.7808
Change - 23.58% 21.67% 13.5% 7.31% 9.95% 9.59% 9.25%
Book Value Per Share 1 11.7 12.45 - 15.72 17.61 19.37 21.21 22.95
Change - 6.42% - - 11.98% 10% 9.52% 8.19%
EPS 1 2.52 3.06 2.82 2.71 3.37 3.304 3.658 4.023
Change - 21.43% -7.84% -3.9% 24.35% -1.96% 10.72% 9.99%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,035,691 981,333 961,787 948,064 918,230 917,963 917,963 917,963
Announcement Date 6/28/22 6/27/23 6/25/24 6/25/25 6/22/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 18.2x 16.4x
PBR 3.11x 2.84x
EV / Sales 0.8x 0.8x
Yield 1.08% 1.19%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
60.16USD
Average target price
73.44USD
Spread / Average Target
+22.07%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. ATD Stock
  4. Financials Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc.