Projected Income Statement: Zalando SE

Forecast Balance Sheet: Zalando SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -763 -1,108 -682 -1,256 -436 -941 -1,444 -1,926
Change - -45.22% 38.45% -84.16% 65.29% -115.92% -53.45% -33.38%
Announcement Date 3/3/22 3/7/23 3/13/24 3/6/25 3/12/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Zalando SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 332.9 351.7 263.2 206.9 222.5 272 299.8 327
Change - 5.65% -25.16% -21.39% 7.54% 22.24% 10.24% 9.05%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 283.2 -18.8 683.3 379.4 903.8 376.4 680.1 727
Change - -106.64% 3,734.57% -44.48% 138.22% -58.35% 80.66% 6.9%
Announcement Date 3/3/22 3/7/23 3/13/24 3/6/25 3/12/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Zalando SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 6.8% 4.8% 6.45% 7.95% 8.06% 7.78% 8.28% 9.04%
EBIT Margin (%) 4.52% 1.78% 3.45% 4.83% 4.78% 4.97% 5.53% 6.14%
EBT Margin (%) 3.42% 0.38% 1.51% 3.48% 2.9% 2.52% 4.33% 5.14%
Net margin (%) 2.26% 0.16% 0.82% 2.38% 1.74% 1.85% 2.9% 3.46%
FCF margin (%) 2.74% -0.18% 6.74% 3.59% 7.32% 2.71% 4.64% 4.72%
FCF / Net Income (%) 120.77% -111.9% 823.25% 151.1% 420.18% 146.32% 159.98% 136.56%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.5% 0.85% 1.61% 3.18% 3.05% 1.5% 4.16% 5.18%
ROE 10.73% 2.79% 5.44% 9.97% 9.59% 11.05% 14.32% 15.53%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.22% 3.4% 2.59% 1.96% 1.8% 1.96% 2.05% 2.12%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 47.3% 70.76% 40.24% 24.62% 22.35% 25.19% 24.73% 23.48%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 117.55% -1,870.74% 38.52% 54.53% 24.62% 72.25% 44.09% 44.98%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.325 1.771 3.625 2.499 4.279 1.631 3.381 3.628
Change - -23.84% 104.72% -31.06% 71.21% -61.89% 107.31% 7.33%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 8.577 8.468 9.061 10.18 10.74 11.33 12.83 14.7
Change - -1.27% 7% 12.4% 5.42% 5.53% 13.28% 14.57%
EPS 1 0.88 0.06 0.32 0.97 0.82 1.05 1.699 2.175
Change - -93.18% 433.33% 203.12% -15.46% 28% 61.9% 28.02%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 251,017 253,311 259,072 256,816 255,055 241,062 241,062 241,062
Announcement Date 3/3/22 3/7/23 3/13/24 3/6/25 3/12/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 22.4x 13.8x
PBR 2.08x 1.83x
EV / Sales 0.34x 0.29x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
24
Last Close Price
23.51EUR
Average target price
35.07EUR
Spread / Average Target
+49.19%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise