Projected Income Statement: VGP NV

Forecast Balance Sheet: VGP NV

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,159 1,669 1,778 1,565 1,836 2,182 2,386 2,529
Change - 44% 6.53% -11.98% 17.32% 18.85% 9.35% 5.99%
Announcement Date 2/23/22 2/23/23 2/22/24 2/20/25 2/19/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: VGP NV

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 630.3 851.8 667 452.2 641.9 676 375.1 366.1
Change - 35.13% -21.69% -32.21% 41.96% 5.31% -44.51% -2.4%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -717.8 -922.4 -35.41 314.4 -591 -36.8 -90.8 67.4
Change - -28.5% 96.16% 987.97% -287.97% 93.77% -146.74% 174.23%
Announcement Date 2/23/22 2/23/23 2/22/24 2/20/25 2/19/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: VGP NV

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 1,432.88% 16.5% 189.81% 167.76% 183.8% 79.38% 80.47% 98.99%
EBIT Margin (%) 1,416.08% 7.68% 104.44% 150.1% 146.47% 162.88% 152.99% 99.16%
EBT Margin (%) 1,726.13% -168.16% 99.14% 151.24% 136.8% 139.15% 133.51% 124.38%
Net margin (%) 1,468.88% -144.53% 76.76% 135.83% 117.4% 124.58% 130.2% 125.15%
FCF margin (%) -1,622% -1,087.98% -31.14% 148.82% -238.89% -13.66% -30.32% 20.2%
FCF / Net Income (%) -110.42% 752.75% -40.56% 109.56% -203.49% -10.96% -23.29% 16.14%

Profitability

        
ROA 19.48% -2.81% 1.89% 6.33% 5.89% 6.06% 6.15% 6.25%
ROE 34.19% -5.6% 3.95% 12.44% 11.61% 8.19% 7.78% 7.8%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.83x 119.31x 8.24x 4.42x 4.04x 10.2x 9.9x 7.66x
Debt / Free cash flow -1.61x -1.81x -50.21x 4.98x -3.11x -59.3x -26.28x 37.52x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1,424.35% 1,004.66% 586.53% 214.01% 259.47% 250.88% 125.27% 109.72%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 99.4% 6,089.01% 309% 127.57% 141.17% 316.04% 155.68% 110.84%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -87.81% -92.34% -1,883.74% 143.81% -108.61% -1,836.96% -413.14% 543.22%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - -3.166 - -0.6211 1.865 -1.001 -1.053 -1.158
Change - - - - 400.23% -153.69% -5.22% -9.97%
Dividend per Share 1 6.85 2.75 2.95 3.3 3.4 3.704 3.832 4.066
Change - -59.85% 7.27% 11.86% 3.03% 8.95% 3.44% 6.13%
Book Value Per Share 1 99.65 98.7 81.14 87.96 95.3 102.9 115.9 129.3
Change - -0.95% -17.79% 8.41% 8.34% 8.01% 12.58% 11.59%
EPS 1 31.41 -5.49 3.2 10.52 10.64 10.5 11.96 12.67
Change - -117.48% 158.29% 228.75% 1.14% -1.28% 13.85% 5.94%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 21,833 27,291 27,291 27,291 27,291 30,348 30,348 30,348
Announcement Date 2/23/22 2/23/23 2/22/24 2/20/25 2/19/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 7.82x 6.87x
PBR 0.8x 0.71x
EV / Sales 17.3x 16.3x
Yield 4.51% 4.67%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
82.10EUR
Average target price
97.00EUR
Spread / Average Target
+18.15%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise