Projected Income Statement: Valvoline Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Valvoline Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet - Valvoline Inc.
Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,464 1,664 1,177 1,026 1,022 1,620 1,580 1,577
Change - 13.66% -29.27% -12.83% -0.39% 58.45% -2.47% -0.19%
Announcement Date 11/3/21 11/15/22 11/9/23 11/19/24 11/19/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Valvoline Inc.

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 144 132 180.5 224.4 259.2 246.6 251.2 240
Change - -8.33% 36.74% 24.32% 15.51% -4.84% 1.86% -4.48%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 260 152 173 40.7 38 126.8 133.8 142
Change - -41.54% 13.82% -76.47% -6.63% 233.6% 5.55% 6.13%
Announcement Date 11/3/21 11/15/22 11/9/23 11/19/24 11/19/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Valvoline Inc.

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 21.27% 54.57% 26.32% 27.34% 27.29% 26.76% 26.33% 27.53%
EBIT Margin (%) 17.71% 46.7% 20.17% 20.8% 20.31% 19.56% 19.2% 20.56%
EBT Margin (%) 18.22% - 16.38% 17.52% 17.09% 10.12% 14.17% 16.47%
Net margin (%) 14.09% - - 13.06% 12.32% 6.25% 10.61% 12.19%
FCF margin (%) 8.72% 12.3% 11.98% 2.51% 2.22% 6.1% 5.77% 5.54%
FCF / Net Income (%) 61.9% - - 19.24% 18.04% 97.59% 54.36% 45.41%

Profitability

        
ROA 11.44% - 6.07% 7.94% 8.02% 7.43% 7.35% 8.33%
ROE - 172.92% 75.6% 108.8% 78.19% 81.73% 120.43% 62.58%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.31x 2.47x 3.1x 2.32x 2.19x 2.91x 2.59x 2.23x
Debt / Free cash flow 5.63x 10.95x 6.8x 25.2x 26.91x 12.78x 11.81x 11.1x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.83% 10.68% 12.5% 13.86% 15.16% 11.86% 10.83% 9.36%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 22.71% 19.57% 47.5% 50.7% 55.53% 44.33% 41.12% 34%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 55.38% 86.84% 104.34% 551.35% 682.11% 194.57% 187.78% 169.01%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.208 - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Dividend per Share 1 0.5 0.5 0.125 - - - - -
Change - 0% -75% - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 0.75 1.741 1.507 1.444 2.663 3.508 4.983 6.903
Change - 132.15% -13.42% -4.18% 84.39% 31.7% 42.08% 38.51%
EPS 1 2.29 - 8.71 1.61 1.64 1.012 1.942 2.49
Change - - - -81.52% 1.86% -38.29% 91.9% 28.22%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 180,761 177,020 138,663 128,866 127,115 127,586 127,586 127,586
Announcement Date 11/3/21 11/15/22 11/9/23 11/19/24 11/19/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 31.6x 16.4x
PBR 9.11x 6.41x
EV / Sales 2.74x 2.44x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Valvoline Inc.


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Valvoline Inc.
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Valvoline Inc.
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
MarketScreener Ratings - Valvoline Inc.
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
31.94USD
Average target price
42.31USD
Spread / Average Target
+32.47%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Valvoline Inc.
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