Projected Income Statement: TUI AG

Forecast Balance Sheet: TUI AG

Fiscal Period: September 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 3,036 4,966 3,522 2,106 1,641 1,560 1,311 950
Change - 63.57% -29.08% -40.2% -22.08% -4.91% -15.96% -27.54%
Announcement Date 12/10/20 12/8/21 12/14/22 12/6/23 12/11/24 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: TUI AG

Fiscal Period: September 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 587 299.7 308.2 666.2 712.5 897.1 919 942.7
Change - -48.94% 2.84% 116.16% 6.95% 25.91% 2.43% 2.58%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -3,359 -451 1,562 971.1 1,198 566.2 847.9 934.6
Change - 86.57% 446.36% -37.83% 23.4% -52.75% 49.76% 10.23%
Announcement Date 12/10/20 12/8/21 12/14/22 12/6/23 12/11/24 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: TUI AG

Fiscal Period: September 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -20.33% -24.2% 7.4% 8.59% 9.15% 9.4% 9.61% 9.75%
EBIT Margin (%) -38.18% -43.86% 2.47% 4.73% 5.59% 5.81% 6.07% 6.27%
EBT Margin (%) -40.33% -52.03% -0.88% 2.67% 3.72% 4.11% 4.45% 4.75%
Net margin (%) -39.63% -52.13% -1.68% 1.48% 2.19% 2.48% 2.85% 3.09%
FCF margin (%) -42.28% -9.53% 9.44% 4.7% 5.17% 2.33% 3.38% 3.61%
FCF / Net Income (%) 106.69% 18.28% -563.32% 317.35% 236.3% 93.68% 118.7% 116.99%

Profitability

        
ROA -19.95% -16.73% -1.89% 1.95% 3.02% 3.53% 4.03% 4.33%
ROE -209.49% - - 62.37% 48.78% 57.01% 46.05% 40.88%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) -1.88x -4.34x 2.88x 1.19x 0.77x 0.68x 0.54x 0.38x
Debt / Free cash flow -0.9x -11.01x 2.25x 2.17x 1.37x 2.75x 1.55x 1.02x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.39% 6.33% 1.86% 3.22% 3.08% 3.69% 3.66% 3.64%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -36.35% -26.17% 25.17% 37.53% 33.61% 39.24% 38.14% 37.33%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -17.48% -66.45% 19.73% 68.6% 59.46% 158.46% 108.39% 100.86%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -47.05 -1.585 12.71 4.029 3.698 2.131 2.546 2.497
Change - 96.63% 901.87% -68.3% -8.22% -42.37% 19.47% -1.91%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - 0.1466 0.2559 0.3646
Change - - - - - - 74.6% 42.48%
Book Value Per Share 1 -7.59 -9.876 -0.8662 2.213 1.885 3.012 4.108 5.165
Change - -30.12% 91.23% 355.47% -14.82% 59.81% 36.36% 25.73%
EPS 1 -53.4 -25.8 -1.7 0.75 0.99 1.211 1.372 1.514
Change - 51.69% 93.41% 144.12% 32% 22.35% 13.3% 10.35%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 59,042 109,908 178,481 507,431 507,431 507,431 507,431 507,431
Announcement Date 12/10/20 12/8/21 12/14/22 12/6/23 12/11/24 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 6.88x 6.07x
PBR 2.76x 2.03x
EV / Sales 0.24x 0.22x
Yield 1.76% 3.07%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
8.324EUR
Average target price
11.14EUR
Spread / Average Target
+33.82%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise