Projected Income Statement: TUI AG

Forecast Balance Sheet: TUI AG

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 4,966 3,522 2,106 1,641 1,305 1,444 1,136 853
Change - -29.08% -40.2% -22.08% -20.48% 10.65% -21.33% -24.91%
Announcement Date 12/8/21 12/14/22 12/6/23 12/11/24 12/10/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: TUI AG

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 299.7 308.2 666.2 712.5 738.9 933.5 942.2 950.8
Change - 2.84% 116.16% 6.95% 3.71% 26.33% 0.93% 0.91%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -451 1,562 971.1 1,198 458 163.9 738.7 863.9
Change - 446.36% -37.83% 23.4% -61.78% -64.21% 350.72% 16.94%
Announcement Date 12/8/21 12/14/22 12/6/23 12/11/24 12/10/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: TUI AG

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -24.2% 7.4% 8.59% 9.15% 9.4% 9.12% 9.94% 10.43%
EBIT Margin (%) -43.86% 2.47% 4.73% 5.59% 5.84% 5.51% 6.25% 6.64%
EBT Margin (%) -52.03% -0.88% 2.67% 3.72% 4.28% 4.29% 4.8% 5.23%
Net margin (%) -52.13% -1.68% 1.48% 2.19% 2.63% 2.35% 2.91% 3.38%
FCF margin (%) -9.53% 9.44% 4.7% 5.17% 1.89% 0.69% 2.99% 3.42%
FCF / Net Income (%) 18.28% -563.32% 317.35% 236.3% 72.02% 29.24% 102.78% 101.18%

Profitability

        
ROA -16.73% -1.89% 1.95% 3.02% 3.58% 3.07% 4.38% 4.98%
ROE - - 62.37% 48.78% 46.78% 30.12% 36.55% 35.19%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) -4.34x 2.88x 1.19x 0.77x 0.57x 0.66x 0.46x 0.32x
Debt / Free cash flow -11.01x 2.25x 2.17x 1.37x 2.85x 8.81x 1.54x 0.99x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.33% 1.86% 3.22% 3.08% 3.06% 3.92% 3.81% 3.76%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -26.17% 25.17% 37.53% 33.61% 32.52% 42.95% 38.38% 36.08%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -66.45% 19.73% 68.6% 59.46% 161.33% 569.54% 127.54% 110.06%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -1.585 12.71 4.029 3.698 3.688 3.096 3.405 3.936
Change - 901.87% -68.3% -8.22% -0.28% -16.05% 10.01% 15.59%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - 0.1 0.1731 0.239 0.2765
Change - - - - - 73.06% 38.11% 15.67%
Book Value Per Share 1 -9.876 -0.8662 2.213 1.885 3.473 3.926 4.855 5.602
Change - 91.23% 355.47% -14.82% 84.27% 13.02% 23.69% 15.38%
EPS 1 -25.8 -1.7 0.75 0.99 1.17 1.136 1.426 1.672
Change - 93.41% 144.12% 32% 18.18% -2.93% 25.58% 17.2%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 109,908 178,481 507,431 507,431 507,431 507,431 507,431 507,431
Announcement Date 12/8/21 12/14/22 12/6/23 12/11/24 12/10/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 6.41x 5.1x
PBR 1.85x 1.5x
EV / Sales 0.22x 0.2x
Yield 2.38% 3.29%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
7.274EUR
Average target price
10.35EUR
Spread / Average Target
+42.23%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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