Projected Income Statement: Tharisa plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Tharisa plc

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -46.6 -80.4 -129 -117 -69.8 39.7 250 357
Change - -72.53% -60.45% 9.3% 40.34% 156.92% 529.72% 42.8%
Announcement Date 12/2/21 12/5/22 12/13/23 11/28/24 12/1/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Tharisa plc

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 106 105 69.88 195 120.8 245.7 384.2 240.6
Change - -0.93% -33.45% 179.03% -38.07% 103.48% 56.34% -37.38%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 102.4 68.66 78.99 5.838 -26.55 -78.33 -205 -26.12
Change - -32.92% 15.04% -92.61% -554.8% -195.03% -161.77% 87.26%
Announcement Date 12/2/21 12/5/22 12/13/23 11/28/24 12/1/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Tharisa plc

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 37.62% 34.45% 21.05% 24.62% 31.07% 30.39% 32.16% 31.16%
EBIT Margin (%) 29.98% 26.9% 14.57% 16.57% 20.83% 21.37% 21.14% 18.07%
EBT Margin (%) 31.07% 32.1% 17.59% 16.31% 19.51% 21.23% 19.87% 16.5%
Net margin (%) 16.85% 21.81% 12.65% 11.49% 13.13% 14.62% 13.39% 12.18%
FCF margin (%) 17.17% 10.01% 12.15% 0.81% -4.4% -10.44% -27.19% -2.71%
FCF / Net Income (%) 101.89% 45.89% 96.05% 7.04% -33.55% -71.39% -203.02% -22.22%

Profitability

        
ROA 16.61% 18.58% 8.06% 7.22% 6.47% 6% 6% 4%
ROE 25.25% 30.67% 14% 12.39% 10.45% 12.85% 7.65% 9.15%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - 0.17x 1.03x 1.19x
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - -0.51x -1.22x -13.68x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 17.78% 15.31% 10.75% 27.03% 20.03% 32.75% 50.94% 24.92%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 47.26% 44.44% 51.08% 109.78% 64.47% 107.77% 158.41% 79.99%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 103.55% 152.94% 88.47% 3,340.12% -454.83% -313.69% -187.36% -920.86%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.7748 0.6075 0.3959 0.6652 - 0.44 0.49 -
Change - -21.59% -34.83% 68.02% - - 11.36% -
Dividend per Share 1 0.09 0.07 0.05 - - - - -
Change - -22.22% -28.57% - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 - 1.865 2.053 - - - - -
Change - - 10.07% - - - - -
EPS 1 0.374 0.538 0.274 0.27 - 0.29 0.34 -
Change - 43.85% -49.07% -1.46% - - 17.24% -
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 269,188 299,619 300,020 295,204 - 296,290 296,290 -
Announcement Date 12/2/21 12/5/22 12/13/23 11/28/24 - - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 5.73x 4.89x
PBR - -
EV / Sales 0.71x 0.99x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 
Trader
-
Investor
Global
-
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
1
Last Close Price
1.662USD
Average target price
1.979USD
Spread / Average Target
+19.06%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

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