Company Valuation: Swatch Group

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Market Cap 1 14,175 13,103 11,658 8,455 8,803 9,497 - -
Change - -7.56% -11.03% -27.47% 4.11% 7.88% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 11,619 10,565 9,672 7,081 7,610 8,361 8,338 8,327
Change - -9.07% -8.45% -26.78% 7.46% 9.87% -0.28% -0.14%
P/E 18.9x 16.9x 13.6x 44.1x 3,365x 40.9x 26.3x 20.3x
PBR 1.24x 1.13x 0.97x 0.7x 0.75x 0.84x 0.83x 0.82x
PEG - 3.16x 1.78x -0.6x -34.1x 0x 0.5x 0.7x
Capitalization / Revenue 1.94x 1.75x 1.48x 1.26x 1.4x 1.44x 1.37x 1.31x
EV / Revenue 1.59x 1.41x 1.23x 1.05x 1.21x 1.27x 1.2x 1.15x
EV / EBITDA 7.96x 6.75x 6.12x 9.84x 13.6x 11.1x 8.57x 7.28x
EV / EBIT 11.4x 9.12x 8.12x 23.3x 56.4x 24.6x 15.2x 11.8x
EV / FCF 11.6x 31.4x -56.9x -32.8x 136x 31.4x 11.2x 11.9x
FCF Yield 8.63% 3.19% -1.76% -3.05% 0.74% 3.18% 8.94% 8.39%
Dividend per Share 2 5.5 6 6.5 4.5 4.5 4.626 5.155 5.616
Rate of return 1.97% 2.28% 2.84% 2.73% 2.67% 2.46% 2.74% 2.99%
EPS 2 14.77 15.56 16.75 3.74 0.05 4.6 7.141 9.249
Distribution rate 37.2% 38.6% 38.8% 120% 9,000% 101% 72.2% 60.7%
Net sales 1 7,313 7,499 7,888 6,735 6,280 6,573 6,934 7,241
EBITDA 1 1,459 1,565 1,581 720 558 754.6 973.1 1,144
EBIT 1 1,021 1,158 1,191 304 135 339.7 550.1 707.2
Net income 1 765 807 869 193 3 230.4 363.9 463.7
Net Debt 1 -2,556 -2,538 -1,986 -1,374 -1,193 -1,135 -1,158 -1,170
Reference price 2 279.00 263.00 228.60 165.00 168.25 187.95 187.95 187.95
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 51,771 51,808 51,836 51,872 51,767 51,996 - -
Announcement Date 1/25/22 1/24/23 1/23/24 1/30/25 1/30/26 - - -
1CHF in Million2CHF
Estimates

P/E, Detailed evolution



P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
17.54x2.65x8.76x3.35% 218B
30.32x7.55x16.66x1.49% 159B
25.23x4.05x14.26x2.28% 126B
63.96x4.56x42.56x0.4% 42.5B
11.58x1.75x6.02x3.99% 26.28B
19.21x2.52x12.8x1.09% 21.16B
18.9x3.61x8.91x3.09% 13.79B
10.43x1.18x7.68x7.01% 13.78B
Average 24.65x 3.48x 14.71x 2.84% 77.64B
Weighted average by Cap. 25.23x 4.27x 14.21x 2.48%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA



Year-on-year evolution of the Yield