Projected Income Statement: Supalai

Forecast Balance Sheet: Supalai

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 18,264 - 22,453 29,064 34,200 32,352 32,524 32,848
Change - - - 29.44% 17.67% -5.4% 0.53% 1%
Announcement Date 2/22/22 2/21/23 2/20/24 2/25/25 2/25/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Supalai

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 83.27 79.23 243 141.4 186 287 247.4
Change - - 206.67% -41.8% 31.54% 54.33% -13.81%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,926 -258.7 -930.2 711.7 5,820 3,698 4,620
Change - - -259.48% 176.51% 717.88% -36.46% 24.91%
Announcement Date 2/22/22 2/20/24 2/25/25 2/25/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Supalai

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 28.96% 27.59% 23.69% 24.57% 19.4% 20.89% 21.34% 21.66%
EBIT Margin (%) 28.54% 27.22% 23.25% 23.92% 18.52% 18.68% 19.27% 20.09%
EBT Margin (%) 31.15% 30.49% 24.6% 25.44% 21.23% 21.87% 22.14% 22.88%
Net margin (%) 24.25% 23.7% 19.21% 19.84% 16.64% 17.49% 17.93% 18.51%
FCF margin (%) 13.46% - -0.83% -2.98% 2.95% 22.94% 14.28% 16.88%
FCF / Net Income (%) 55.52% - -4.32% -15.03% 17.72% 131.15% 79.6% 91.2%

Profitability

        
ROA 10.13% - 7.21% 6.79% 4.11% 4.39% 4.6% 4.96%
ROE 17.98% - 12.35% 11.94% 7.51% 7.92% 7.94% 8.47%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.16x - 3.04x 3.79x 7.31x 6.1x 5.88x 5.54x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.65x - -86.78x -31.25x 48.06x 5.56x 8.79x 7.11x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.29% - 0.25% 0.78% 0.59% 0.73% 1.11% 0.9%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 0.99% - 1.07% 3.17% 3.02% 3.51% 5.19% 4.17%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 2.12% - -30.62% -26.12% 19.87% 3.2% 7.76% 5.36%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.058 - -0.092 -0.3518 0.4447 2.09 2.415 2.593
Change - - - -282.39% 226.41% 369.98% 15.55% 7.38%
Dividend per Share 1 1 - 1.45 1.35 1.4 1.271 1.277 1.376
Change - - - -6.9% 3.7% -9.25% 0.53% 7.76%
Book Value Per Share 1 21.59 - 25.84 27.23 28.48 29.19 30.48 31.65
Change - - - 5.35% 4.61% 2.5% 4.42% 3.81%
EPS 1 3.63 4.19 3.07 3.17 2.09 2.28 2.389 2.617
Change - 15.43% -26.73% 3.26% -34.07% 9.08% 4.79% 9.54%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,948,141 1,953,054 1,953,054 1,953,054 1,886,454 1,899,871 1,899,871 1,899,871
Announcement Date 2/22/22 2/21/23 2/20/24 2/25/25 2/25/26 - - -
1THB
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 7.02x 6.7x
PBR 0.55x 0.52x
EV / Sales 2.47x 2.43x
Yield 7.94% 7.98%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
16.00THB
Average target price
17.55THB
Spread / Average Target
+9.69%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise