Projected Income Statement: Stantec Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Stantec Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,762 1,153 800 1,172 1,450 1,443 940 1,049
Change - -34.56% -30.62% 46.5% 23.72% -0.47% -34.86% 11.6%
Announcement Date 2/23/22 2/22/23 2/28/24 2/25/25 2/25/26 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Stantec Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 50.6 74.9 100.6 99 71.9 107.3 108.6 -
Change - 48.02% 34.31% -1.59% -27.37% 49.22% 1.19% -100%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 346.4 75.7 319.1 380 641.5 647.9 764.5 854.1
Change - -78.15% 321.53% 19.08% 68.82% 0.99% 18% 11.73%
Announcement Date 2/23/22 2/22/23 2/28/24 2/25/25 2/25/26 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Stantec Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 15.78% 16.24% 16.4% 16.71% 17.61% 18.03% 18.32% 18.46%
EBIT Margin (%) 9.68% 9.88% 10.8% 11.28% 12.19% 13.5% 13.61% -
EBT Margin (%) 7.23% 7.29% 8.43% 7.93% 9.7% 11.7% 12.83% -
Net margin (%) 5.52% 5.54% 6.54% 6.16% 7.38% 8.63% 9.41% -
FCF margin (%) 9.53% 1.7% 6.3% 6.48% 9.88% 9.12% 10.16% 10.76%
FCF / Net Income (%) 172.6% 30.65% 96.35% 105.12% 133.81% 105.71% 107.94% -

Profitability

        
ROA 5.61% 6.38% 6.96% 7.93% 8.11% 8.65% 8.9% -
ROE 13.73% 16.19% 14.5% 18.69% 19.54% 19.38% 19.22% 24.7%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.07x 1.59x 0.96x 1.2x 1.27x 1.13x 0.68x 0.72x
Debt / Free cash flow 5.09x 15.23x 2.51x 3.08x 2.26x 2.23x 1.23x 1.23x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.39% 1.68% 1.99% 1.69% 1.11% 1.51% 1.44% -
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 8.82% 10.35% 12.11% 10.1% 6.29% 8.38% 7.87% -
CAPEX / FCF (%) 14.61% 98.94% 31.53% 26.05% 11.21% 16.56% 14.2% -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3.557 2.74 4.897 5.287 7.565 8.27 8.496 -
Change - -22.97% 78.75% 7.97% 43.08% 9.32% 2.73% -
Dividend per Share 1 0.66 0.72 0.78 0.84 0.9 0.98 1.017 -
Change - 9.09% 8.33% 7.69% 7.14% 8.89% 3.74% -
Book Value Per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
EPS 1 1.8 2.22 2.98 3.17 4.2 5.19 6.177 -
Change - 23.33% 34.23% 6.38% 32.49% 23.57% 19.01% -
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 111,186 110,766 114,067 114,067 114,067 114,067 114,067 -
Announcement Date 2/23/22 2/22/23 2/28/24 2/25/25 2/25/26 - - -
1CAD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 18.6x 15.6x
PBR - -
EV / Sales 1.75x 1.58x
Yield 1.02% 1.06%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
96.32CAD
Average target price
148.55CAD
Spread / Average Target
+54.22%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise