Projected Income Statement: SSP Group plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: SSP Group plc

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,480 1,151 1,421 1,682 1,817 1,951 1,979 1,996
Change - -22.23% 23.46% 18.37% 8.03% 7.38% 1.44% 0.86%
Announcement Date 12/8/21 12/6/22 12/5/23 12/3/24 12/4/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: SSP Group plc

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 65.7 159.6 220 279.6 246.4 194.2 203.7 210.5
Change - 142.92% 37.84% 27.09% -11.87% -21.18% 4.88% 3.34%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -22.2 52 -124.9 -232.5 80.3 112.4 116.8 127.5
Change - 334.23% -340.19% -86.15% 134.54% 39.91% 3.94% 9.21%
Announcement Date 12/8/21 12/6/22 12/5/23 12/3/24 12/4/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: SSP Group plc

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 3% 14.34% 17.13% 18.06% 18.88% 19.46% 19.75% 19.87%
EBIT Margin (%) -38.76% 1.45% 6.8% 7.18% 7.4% 7.59% 8.05% 8.35%
EBT Margin (%) -49.29% 1.15% 2.93% 3.45% -0.29% 4.84% 5.42% 5.67%
Net margin (%) -42.83% -0.47% 0.27% 0.8% -2.04% 2.47% 2.81% 3.04%
FCF margin (%) -2.66% 2.38% -4.15% -6.77% 2.21% 2.94% 2.93% 3.05%
FCF / Net Income (%) 6.21% -509.8% -1,541.98% -848.54% -107.93% 118.97% 104.02% 100.53%

Profitability

        
ROA - -1.18% 1.73% 2.14% 2.68% 3.9% 4.14% 4.4%
ROE -120.14% -15.26% 21.99% 28.63% 57.16% 187.1% 186.95% 99.97%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 59.22x 3.67x 2.76x 2.71x 2.64x 2.63x 2.51x 2.4x
Debt / Free cash flow -66.68x 22.13x -11.38x -7.23x 22.63x 17.36x 16.94x 15.65x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.88% 7.3% 7.31% 8.14% 6.77% 5.09% 5.1% 5.04%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 262.8% 50.93% 42.67% 45.1% 35.86% 26.13% 25.84% 25.35%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -295.95% 306.92% -176.14% -120.26% 306.85% 172.86% 174.42% 165.06%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.0162 0.5429 0.5939 0.7042 0.9228 0.5034 0.566 0.5986
Change - 3,251.42% 9.39% 18.57% 31.04% -45.45% 12.43% 5.75%
Dividend per Share 1 - - 0.025 0.035 0.042 0.0494 0.0576 0.0648
Change - - - 40% 20% 17.57% 16.55% 12.63%
Book Value Per Share 1 0.302 0.2826 0.284 0.2824 0.1021 0.046 0.1405 0.2516
Change - -6.42% 0.49% -0.56% -63.85% -54.96% 205.54% 79.02%
EPS 1 -0.513 -0.013 0.01 0.034 -0.093 0.1266 0.151 0.1685
Change - 97.47% 176.92% 240% -373.53% 236.15% 19.28% 11.55%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 795,557 795,640 795,977 796,005 800,727 762,239 762,239 762,239
Announcement Date 12/8/21 12/6/22 12/5/23 12/3/24 12/4/25 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 15x 12.6x
PBR 41.3x 13.5x
EV / Sales 0.89x 0.86x
Yield 2.6% 3.03%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
1.900GBP
Average target price
2.363GBP
Spread / Average Target
+24.35%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise