Projected Income Statement: Simcere Pharmaceutical Group Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Simcere Pharmaceutical Group Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet - Simcere Pharmaceutical Group Limited
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -86 -162 -81.8 -122 -355 -197 -140 -31.7
Change - -88.37% 49.51% -49.14% -190.98% 44.56% 28.93% 77.36%
Announcement Date 3/24/22 3/31/23 3/20/24 3/24/25 3/25/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Simcere Pharmaceutical Group Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 31.95 49.91 66.68 48.93 51.08 108.5 118.5 131.4
Change - 56.2% 33.61% -26.62% 4.4% 112.46% 9.2% 10.9%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -62.76 - -45.84 141.8 - - - -
Change - - - 409.26% - - - -
Announcement Date 3/24/22 3/31/23 3/20/24 3/24/25 3/25/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Simcere Pharmaceutical Group Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 34.01% 17.18% 15.46% 17.87% 25.04% 22.28% 22.51% 22.27%
EBIT Margin (%) 22.68% 13.65% 10.77% 12.78% 20.12% 18.35% 18.73% 19.16%
EBT Margin (%) 28.04% 14.06% 11.2% 12.36% 19.59% 19.53% 20.24% 20.1%
Net margin (%) 30.14% 14.76% 10.82% 11.05% 16.84% 17.01% 17.27% 17.68%
FCF margin (%) -7.99% - -4.99% 15.49% - - - -
FCF / Net Income (%) -26.52% - -46.17% 140.17% - - - -

Profitability

        
ROA 14.28% 8.91% 6.61% 6.56% 10.21% 11.02% 11.44% 12.12%
ROE 25.68% 13.75% 9.96% 10.26% 16.25% 16.78% 17.22% 17.93%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.07% 5.43% 7.26% 5.35% 4.55% 7.19% 6.75% 6.43%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 11.97% 31.57% 47% 29.92% 18.18% 32.27% 29.97% 28.86%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -50.91% - -145.48% 34.52% - - - -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -0.0773 0.517 0.0579 0.5536 0.8093 0.71 1.01 1
Change - 768.48% -88.8% 856.13% 46.19% -12.27% 42.25% -0.99%
Dividend per Share 1 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.18 0.3605 0.4092 0.4814
Change - 6.67% 0% 0% 12.5% 100.29% 13.51% 17.63%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.468 2.679 2.769 2.813 3.792 4.14 4.733 5.439
Change - 8.57% 3.36% 1.58% 34.8% 9.18% 14.33% 14.91%
EPS 1 0.58 0.36 0.27 0.29 0.54 0.6886 0.7932 0.9412
Change - -37.93% -25% 7.41% 86.21% 27.51% 15.19% 18.67%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,628,291 2,660,377 2,616,723 2,486,321 2,595,698 2,568,199 2,568,199 2,568,199
Announcement Date 3/24/22 3/31/23 3/20/24 3/24/25 3/25/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 13.2x 11.5x
PBR 2.2x 1.92x
EV / Sales 2.15x 1.88x
Yield 3.97% 4.5%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Simcere Pharmaceutical Group Limited


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Simcere Pharmaceutical Group Limited
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Simcere Pharmaceutical Group Limited
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
MarketScreener Ratings - Simcere Pharmaceutical Group Limited
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
9.092CNY
Average target price
16.62CNY
Spread / Average Target
+82.83%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - EPS - Annual - Simcere Pharmaceutical Group Limited
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