Projected Income Statement: SGS SA

Forecast Balance Sheet: SGS SA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,691 2,823 2,839 2,670 2,566 3,013 2,531 2,392
Change - 66.94% 0.57% -5.95% -3.9% 17.42% -16% -5.49%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/26/24 2/11/25 2/11/26 - - -
1CHF in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: SGS SA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 336 329 283 239 256 303.8 336.9 355.1
Change - -2.08% -13.98% -15.55% 7.11% 18.69% 10.88% 5.39%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 635 507 635 748 841 845.1 972.9 1,033
Change - -20.16% 25.25% 17.8% 12.43% 0.49% 15.12% 6.14%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/26/24 2/11/25 2/11/26 - - -
1CHF in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: SGS SA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 23.65% 22.42% 21.5% 21.75% 22.16% 22.34% 22.5% 22.61%
EBIT Margin (%) 16.47% 15.4% 14.66% 15.31% 15.95% 16% 16.43% 16.72%
EBT Margin (%) 14.43% 12.78% 12.11% 12.47% 13.85% 13.77% 14.59% 14.89%
Net margin (%) 9.57% 8.85% 8.35% 8.55% 9.62% 9.62% 10.3% 10.59%
FCF margin (%) 9.91% 7.63% 9.59% 11.01% 12.11% 11.09% 12.09% 12.13%
FCF / Net Income (%) 103.59% 86.22% 114.83% 128.74% 125.9% 115.32% 117.35% 114.5%

Profitability

        
ROA 9.63% 9.75% 9.29% 10.2% 10.09% 8.81% 8.93% 9.03%
ROE 61.55% 76.6% 96.7% 109.71% 86.93% 63.87% 55.14% 49.1%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.12x 1.9x 1.99x 1.81x 1.67x 1.77x 1.4x 1.24x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.66x 5.57x 4.47x 3.57x 3.05x 3.56x 2.6x 2.32x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.25% 4.95% 4.27% 3.52% 3.69% 3.99% 4.18% 4.17%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 22.18% 22.1% 19.87% 16.17% 16.63% 17.85% 18.6% 18.44%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 52.91% 64.89% 44.57% 31.95% 30.44% 35.95% 34.63% 34.38%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 6.235 5.529 6.07 6.511 6.337 6.4 7.018 7.3
Change - -11.32% 9.8% 7.25% -2.67% 1% 9.65% 4.02%
Dividend per Share 1 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.188 3.264 3.362
Change - 0% 0% 0% 0% -0.39% 2.39% 3%
Book Value Per Share 1 5.967 3.661 2.495 4.239 4.67 6.857 8.821 10.77
Change - -38.65% -31.86% 69.94% 10.16% 46.82% 28.65% 22.04%
EPS 1 3.272 3.147 2.99 3.09 3.46 3.711 4.154 4.467
Change - -3.81% -4.98% 3.34% 11.97% 7.26% 11.92% 7.54%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 187,376 187,292 184,309 186,371 193,566 197,600 197,600 197,600
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/26/24 2/11/25 2/11/26 - - -
1CHF
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 26.4x 23.6x
PBR 14.3x 11.1x
EV / Sales 2.93x 2.72x
Yield 3.26% 3.34%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
97.82CHF
Average target price
101.63CHF
Spread / Average Target
+3.90%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise