Projected Income Statement: Semtech Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Semtech Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet - Semtech Corporation
Fiscal Period: January 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 - - - 400 296 126 -539 -1,323
Change - - - - -26% -57.43% -527.78% -145.45%
Announcement Date 3/16/22 3/29/23 3/28/24 3/13/25 3/16/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Semtech Corporation

Fiscal Period: January 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 26.18 28.32 29.18 7.9 9.8 36.98 42.3 36.28
Change - 8.18% 3.04% -72.93% 24.05% 277.35% 14.39% -14.25%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 176.9 - -123.1 50.1 171.4 180.8 628.4 704.1
Change - - - 140.7% 242.12% 5.51% 247.51% 12.04%
Announcement Date 3/16/22 3/29/23 3/28/24 3/13/25 3/16/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Semtech Corporation

Fiscal Period: January 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 31.28% 32.79% 14.04% 20.07% 22.1% 27.5% 37.35% 36.44%
EBIT Margin (%) 27.36% 28.77% 10.67% 16.39% 19.15% 27.49% 34.92% 36.99%
EBT Margin (%) 18.77% 10.37% -119.89% -20.17% -2.02% 19.96% 31.38% 37.5%
Net margin (%) 16.96% 8.11% -125.7% -17.8% -3.85% 24.25% 24.37% 28.15%
FCF margin (%) 23.88% - -14.17% 5.51% 16.32% 12.16% 32.61% 27.69%
FCF / Net Income (%) 140.81% - 11.27% -30.95% -424.26% 50.14% 133.84% 98.36%

Profitability

        
ROA 15.47% 9.67% 0.46% 7.91% 11.07% 20.5% 26.5% 25.8%
ROE 23.84% 23.96% 4.04% 94.04% 28.68% 46.84% 44.27% 38.08%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - 2.19x 1.28x 0.31x - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - 7.98x 1.73x 0.7x - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.53% 3.74% 3.36% 0.87% 0.93% 2.49% 2.2% 1.43%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 11.3% 11.42% 23.92% 4.33% 4.22% 9.04% 5.88% 3.91%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 14.8% - -23.71% 15.77% 5.72% 20.45% 6.73% 5.15%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - -1.465 0.81 2.05 2.78 6.56 7.14
Change - - - 155.31% 153.06% 35.62% 135.97% 8.84%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 11.25 11.82 -4.794 7.575 5.903 9.737 15.56 22.92
Change - 5.11% -140.54% 258% -22.07% 64.96% 59.83% 47.27%
EPS 1 1.92 0.96 -17.03 -2.26 -0.46 3.712 4.87 6.997
Change - -50% -1,873.96% 86.73% 79.65% 906.87% 31.2% 43.69%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 64,437 63,838 64,285 86,179 92,540 93,326 93,326 93,326
Announcement Date 3/16/22 3/29/23 3/28/24 3/13/25 3/16/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 38.9x 29.6x
PBR 14.8x 9.27x
EV / Sales 9.13x 6.7x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Semtech Corporation


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Semtech Corporation
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Semtech Corporation
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
MarketScreener Ratings - Semtech Corporation
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
144.21USD
Average target price
220.00USD
Spread / Average Target
+52.56%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Semtech Corporation
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