Projected Income Statement: Semtech Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Semtech Corporation

Fiscal Period: January 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 - - - 400 296 237 -111 -567
Change - - - - -26% -19.93% -146.84% -410.81%
Announcement Date 3/16/22 3/29/23 3/28/24 3/13/25 3/16/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Semtech Corporation

Fiscal Period: January 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 26.18 28.32 29.18 7.9 9.8 29.23 35.65 37.38
Change - 8.18% 3.04% -72.93% 24.05% 198.22% 21.97% 4.87%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 176.9 - -123.1 50.1 171.4 250.7 306.2 369.3
Change - - - 140.7% 242.12% 46.27% 22.14% 20.61%
Announcement Date 3/16/22 3/29/23 3/28/24 3/13/25 3/16/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Semtech Corporation

Fiscal Period: January 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 31.28% 32.79% 14.04% 20.07% 22.1% 21.3% 25.82% 27.73%
EBIT Margin (%) 27.36% 28.77% 10.67% 16.39% 19.15% 21.77% 24.44% 23.45%
EBT Margin (%) 18.77% 10.37% -119.89% -20.17% -2.02% 14.08% 20.62% 27.38%
Net margin (%) 16.96% 8.11% -125.7% -17.8% -3.85% 11.12% 15.9% 20.44%
FCF margin (%) 23.88% - -14.17% 5.51% 16.32% 18.35% 17.97% 16.75%
FCF / Net Income (%) 140.81% - 11.27% -30.95% -424.26% 165.04% 113% 81.95%

Profitability

        
ROA 15.47% 9.67% 0.46% 7.91% 11.07% 15.6% 17% 18%
ROE 23.84% 23.96% 4.04% 94.04% 28.68% 35.84% 39.46% 38.31%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - 2.19x 1.28x 0.81x - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - 7.98x 1.73x 0.95x - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.53% 3.74% 3.36% 0.87% 0.93% 2.14% 2.09% 1.7%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 11.3% 11.42% 23.92% 4.33% 4.22% 10.04% 8.1% 6.11%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 14.8% - -23.71% 15.77% 5.72% 11.66% 11.64% 10.12%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - -1.465 0.81 2.05 2.76 3.26 3.92
Change - - - 155.31% 153.06% 34.65% 18.12% 20.25%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 11.25 11.82 -4.794 7.575 5.903 7.737 10.86 16.24
Change - 5.11% -140.54% 258% -22.07% 31.07% 40.34% 49.62%
EPS 1 1.92 0.96 -17.03 -2.26 -0.46 1.561 2.942 5.614
Change - -50% -1,873.96% 86.73% 79.65% 439.44% 88.43% 90.79%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 64,437 63,838 64,285 86,179 92,540 93,151 93,151 93,151
Announcement Date 3/16/22 3/29/23 3/28/24 3/13/25 3/16/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 81.8x 43.4x
PBR 16.5x 11.8x
EV / Sales 8.88x 6.91x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
127.65USD
Average target price
205.25USD
Spread / Average Target
+60.79%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. SMTC Stock
  4. Financials Semtech Corporation