Projected Income Statement: Semtech Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Semtech Corporation

Fiscal Period: January 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 - - - 400 296 126 -539 -1,323
Change - - - - -26% -57.43% -527.78% -145.45%
Announcement Date 3/16/22 3/29/23 3/28/24 3/13/25 3/16/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Semtech Corporation

Fiscal Period: January 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 26.18 28.32 29.18 7.9 9.8 36.98 42.3 36.28
Change - 8.18% 3.04% -72.93% 24.05% 277.35% 14.39% -14.25%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 176.9 - -123.1 50.1 171.4 180.8 628.4 704.1
Change - - - 140.7% 242.12% 5.51% 247.51% 12.04%
Announcement Date 3/16/22 3/29/23 3/28/24 3/13/25 3/16/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Semtech Corporation

Fiscal Period: January 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 31.28% 32.79% 14.04% 20.07% 22.1% 27.05% 33.98% 36.82%
EBIT Margin (%) 27.36% 28.77% 10.67% 16.39% 19.15% 27.45% 34.57% 36.75%
EBT Margin (%) 18.77% 10.37% -119.89% -20.17% -2.02% 19.88% 31.47% 37.89%
Net margin (%) 16.96% 8.11% -125.7% -17.8% -3.85% 24.26% 24.44% 28.45%
FCF margin (%) 23.88% - -14.17% 5.51% 16.32% 12.16% 32.71% 27.98%
FCF / Net Income (%) 140.81% - 11.27% -30.95% -424.26% 50.13% 133.84% 98.36%

Profitability

        
ROA 15.47% 9.67% 0.46% 7.91% 11.07% 20.5% 26.5% 25.8%
ROE 23.84% 23.96% 4.04% 94.04% 28.68% 46.84% 44.27% 38.08%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - 2.19x 1.28x 0.31x - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - 7.98x 1.73x 0.7x - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.53% 3.74% 3.36% 0.87% 0.93% 2.49% 2.2% 1.44%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 11.3% 11.42% 23.92% 4.33% 4.22% 9.19% 6.48% 3.91%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 14.8% - -23.71% 15.77% 5.72% 20.45% 6.73% 5.15%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - -1.465 0.81 2.05 2.78 6.56 7.14
Change - - - 155.31% 153.06% 35.62% 135.97% 8.84%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 11.25 11.82 -4.794 7.575 5.903 9.72 15.56 22.92
Change - 5.11% -140.54% 258% -22.07% 64.66% 60.11% 47.27%
EPS 1 1.92 0.96 -17.03 -2.26 -0.46 3.718 4.92 7.118
Change - -50% -1,873.96% 86.73% 79.65% 908.19% 32.33% 44.68%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 64,437 63,838 64,285 86,179 92,540 93,326 93,326 93,326
Announcement Date 3/16/22 3/29/23 3/28/24 3/13/25 3/16/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 49.8x 37.6x
PBR 19x 11.9x
EV / Sales 11.7x 8.7x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
185.00USD
Average target price
209.29USD
Spread / Average Target
+13.13%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. SMTC Stock
  4. Financials Semtech Corporation
-40%: Exceptional extension
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