Projected Income Statement: SCG Packaging

Forecast Balance Sheet: SCG Packaging

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 31,056 37,825 26,434 51,334 52,907 46,356 42,950 38,544
Change - 21.8% -30.12% 94.2% 3.06% -12.38% -7.35% -10.26%
Announcement Date 1/25/22 1/24/23 1/23/24 1/28/25 1/27/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: SCG Packaging

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 19,949 13,721 8,361 5,429 4,922 8,195 7,259 7,334
Change - -31.22% -39.06% -35.08% -9.33% 66.5% -11.43% 1.04%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -12,448 3,513 13,120 8,325 10,615 10,153 11,815 12,818
Change - 128.22% 273.52% -36.55% 27.51% -4.36% 16.37% 8.48%
Announcement Date 1/25/22 1/24/23 1/23/24 1/28/25 1/27/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: SCG Packaging

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 17.03% 13.28% 12.86% 11.4% 14.01% 15.32% 15.16% 15.28%
EBIT Margin (%) 10.33% 6.64% 5.75% 4.42% 4.92% 8.34% 8.25% 8.61%
EBT Margin (%) 9.43% 5.67% 5.09% 3.43% 4.82% 7.22% 7.28% 7.55%
Net margin (%) 6.68% 3.97% 4.06% 2.79% 3.27% 5.3% 5.41% 5.67%
FCF margin (%) -10.02% 2.4% 10.14% 6.27% 8.54% 7.67% 8.61% 9%
FCF / Net Income (%) -150.08% 60.56% 250% 225.07% 260.85% 144.77% 159.16% 158.65%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.37% 2.87% 2.65% 1.91% 2.23% 3.8% 4.02% 4.25%
ROE 8.94% 5.98% 6.01% 4.8% 5.39% 8.79% 9.15% 9.59%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.47x 1.95x 1.59x 3.39x 3.04x 2.28x 2.06x 1.77x
Debt / Free cash flow -2.49x 10.77x 2.01x 6.17x 4.98x 4.57x 3.64x 3.01x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 16.06% 9.39% 6.46% 4.09% 3.96% 6.19% 5.29% 5.15%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 94.32% 70.72% 50.23% 35.87% 28.25% 40.38% 34.9% 33.7%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -160.26% 390.61% 63.73% 65.2% 46.37% 80.72% 61.44% 57.22%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.745 4.011 4.994 3.198 3.619 3.329 3.481 3.828
Change - 129.8% 24.51% -35.97% 13.19% -8.01% 4.56% 9.95%
Dividend per Share 1 0.65 0.6 0.55 0.55 - 0.7723 0.84 0.8954
Change - -7.69% -8.33% 0% - - 8.76% 6.6%
Book Value Per Share 1 22.56 22.64 18.01 17.86 20.99 18.22 19.44 20.14
Change - 0.38% -20.45% -0.83% 17.52% -13.23% 6.71% 3.61%
EPS 1 1.93 1.35 1.22 0.86 0.95 1.575 1.693 1.875
Change - -30.05% -9.63% -29.51% 10.47% 65.81% 7.49% 10.74%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 4,292,920 4,292,920 4,292,920 4,292,920 4,292,920 4,293,000 4,293,000 4,293,000
Announcement Date 1/25/22 1/24/23 1/23/24 1/28/25 1/27/26 - - -
1THB
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 19.7x 18.3x
PBR 1.7x 1.59x
EV / Sales 1.35x 1.28x
Yield 2.49% 2.71%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
31.00THB
Average target price
33.57THB
Spread / Average Target
+8.28%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise