Projected Income Statement: SCG Packaging

Forecast Balance Sheet: SCG Packaging

Forecast Balance Sheet - SCG Packaging
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 31,056 37,825 26,434 51,334 52,907 46,305 42,703 38,240
Change - 21.8% -30.12% 94.2% 3.06% -12.48% -7.78% -10.45%
Announcement Date 1/25/22 1/24/23 1/23/24 1/28/25 1/27/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: SCG Packaging

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 19,949 13,721 8,361 5,429 4,922 9,463 7,659 7,876
Change - -31.22% -39.06% -35.08% -9.33% 92.25% -19.06% 2.83%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -12,448 3,513 13,120 8,325 10,615 11,496 10,213 11,764
Change - 128.22% 273.52% -36.55% 27.51% 8.29% -11.16% 15.19%
Announcement Date 1/25/22 1/24/23 1/23/24 1/28/25 1/27/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: SCG Packaging

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 17.03% 13.28% 12.86% 11.4% 14.01% 15.84% 15.49% 15.63%
EBIT Margin (%) 10.33% 6.64% 5.75% 4.42% 4.92% 8.96% 8.6% 8.96%
EBT Margin (%) 9.43% 5.67% 5.09% 3.43% 4.82% 7.73% 7.64% 7.98%
Net margin (%) 6.68% 3.97% 4.06% 2.79% 3.27% 5.57% 5.7% 5.97%
FCF margin (%) -10.02% 2.4% 10.14% 6.27% 8.54% 8.65% 7.42% 8.25%
FCF / Net Income (%) -150.08% 60.56% 250% 225.07% 260.85% 155.15% 130.32% 138.19%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.37% 2.87% 2.65% 1.91% 2.23% 3.94% 4.15% 4.45%
ROE 8.94% 5.98% 6.01% 4.8% 5.39% 9.58% 9.61% 10%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.47x 1.95x 1.59x 3.39x 3.04x 2.2x 2x 1.72x
Debt / Free cash flow -2.49x 10.77x 2.01x 6.17x 4.98x 4.03x 4.18x 3.25x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 16.06% 9.39% 6.46% 4.09% 3.96% 7.12% 5.57% 5.53%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 94.32% 70.72% 50.23% 35.87% 28.25% 44.95% 35.93% 35.36%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -160.26% 390.61% 63.73% 65.2% 46.37% 82.32% 75% 66.95%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.745 4.011 4.994 3.198 3.619 2.989 3.415 3.951
Change - 129.8% 24.51% -35.97% 13.19% -17.41% 14.25% 15.69%
Dividend per Share 1 0.65 0.6 0.55 0.55 0.6 0.7352 0.8555 0.9124
Change - -7.69% -8.33% 0% 9.09% 22.53% 16.36% 6.66%
Book Value Per Share 1 22.56 22.64 18.01 17.86 20.99 18.56 19.6 20.36
Change - 0.38% -20.45% -0.83% 17.52% -11.59% 5.62% 3.87%
EPS 1 1.93 1.35 1.22 0.86 0.95 1.711 1.784 1.975
Change - -30.05% -9.63% -29.51% 10.47% 80.12% 4.23% 10.75%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 4,292,920 4,292,920 4,292,920 4,292,920 4,292,920 4,293,000 4,293,000 4,293,000
Announcement Date 1/25/22 1/24/23 1/23/24 1/28/25 1/27/26 - - -
1THB
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 15.9x 15.3x
PBR 1.47x 1.39x
EV / Sales 1.23x 1.16x
Yield 2.7% 3.14%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - SCG Packaging


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - SCG Packaging
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - SCG Packaging
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
MarketScreener Ratings - SCG Packaging
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
27.25THB
Average target price
35.18THB
Spread / Average Target
+29.10%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - SCG Packaging