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End-of-day quote
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 29.00 THB | +0.87% |
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+5.45% | +69.59% |
| 06-04 | Maybank Research Upgrades SCG Packaging to Buy from Hold; Price Target is THB28.50 | MT |
| 05-26 | Scg packaging invests to expand fiber packaging business in Vietnam | RE |
Company Valuation: SCG Packaging
Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Cap 1 | 297,285 | 244,696 | 154,545 | 84,141 | 73,409 | 124,497 | - | - |
| Change | - | -17.69% | -36.84% | -45.56% | -12.76% | 69.59% | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 328,341 | 282,521 | 180,979 | 135,476 | 126,316 | 172,729 | 170,295 | 161,554 |
| Change | - | -13.96% | -35.94% | -25.14% | -6.76% | 36.74% | -1.41% | -5.13% |
| P/E | 35.9x | 42.2x | 29.5x | 22.8x | 18x | 22.8x | 21.1x | 18.9x |
| PBR | 3.07x | 2.52x | 2x | 1.1x | 0.81x | 1.61x | 1.54x | 1.49x |
| PEG | - | -1.4x | -3.06x | -0.8x | 1.7x | 0.7x | 2.7x | 1.7x |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 2.39x | 1.68x | 1.19x | 0.63x | 0.59x | 0.93x | 0.9x | 0.89x |
| EV / Revenue | 2.64x | 1.93x | 1.4x | 1.02x | 1.02x | 1.29x | 1.23x | 1.15x |
| EV / EBITDA | 15.5x | 14.6x | 10.9x | 8.95x | 7.25x | 9.43x | 8.96x | 8.18x |
| EV / EBIT | 25.6x | 29.1x | 24.3x | 23.1x | 20.6x | 19.2x | 17.9x | 16.1x |
| EV / FCF | -26.4x | 80.4x | 13.8x | 16.3x | 11.9x | 20.4x | 16.7x | 14.8x |
| FCF Yield | -3.79% | 1.24% | 7.25% | 6.15% | 8.4% | 4.91% | 6% | 6.74% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 0.65 | 0.6 | 0.55 | 0.55 | - | 0.6332 | 0.6736 | 0.7079 |
| Rate of return | 0.94% | 1.05% | 1.53% | 2.81% | - | 2.18% | 2.32% | 2.44% |
| EPS 2 | 1.93 | 1.35 | 1.22 | 0.86 | 0.95 | 1.274 | 1.373 | 1.531 |
| Distribution rate | 33.7% | 44.4% | 45.1% | 64% | - | 49.7% | 49% | 46.3% |
| Net sales 1 | 124,223 | 146,068 | 129,398 | 132,784 | 124,374 | 133,650 | 138,250 | 140,370 |
| EBITDA 1 | 21,150 | 19,402 | 16,646 | 15,132 | 17,424 | 18,324 | 19,013 | 19,747 |
| EBIT 1 | 12,835 | 9,703 | 7,440 | 5,873 | 6,123 | 9,013 | 9,513 | 10,014 |
| Net income 1 | 8,294 | 5,801 | 5,248 | 3,699 | 4,069 | 5,479 | 5,910 | 6,575 |
| Net Debt 1 | 31,056 | 37,825 | 26,434 | 51,334 | 52,907 | 48,232 | 45,798 | 37,057 |
| Reference price 2 | 69.25 | 57.00 | 36.00 | 19.60 | 17.10 | 29.00 | 29.00 | 29.00 |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 4,292,920 | 4,292,920 | 4,292,920 | 4,292,920 | 4,292,920 | 4,293,000 | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 1/25/22 | 1/24/23 | 1/23/24 | 1/28/25 | 1/27/26 | - | - | - |
1THB in Million2THB
Estimates
P/E, Detailed evolution
| P/E (Y) | EV / Sales (Y) | EV / EBITDA (Y) | Dividend Yield (Y) | Capi.($) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.84x | 1.16x | 7.22x | 4.05% | 24.06B | ||
| 24.16x | 2.43x | 11.64x | 2.19% | 21.09B | ||
| 29.36x | 1.18x | 9.03x | 4.66% | 20.54B | ||
| 22.54x | 2.63x | 15.39x | 3.04% | 6.07B | ||
| 23.07x | 2.39x | 9.96x | 1.75% | 6.68B | ||
| 14.45x | 1.27x | 7.39x | 3.73% | 5.68B | ||
| 25.66x | 0.78x | 7.05x | 2.57% | 4.08B | ||
| 20.03x | 0.93x | 7.31x | 4.05% | 3.21B | ||
| 11.81x | 0.99x | 6.55x | 4.39% | 3.19B | ||
| Average | 21.32x | 1.53x | 9.06x | 3.38% | 10.51B | |
| Weighted average by Cap. | 23.19x | 1.60x | 9.30x | 3.47% |
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Historical PBR trend
Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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