Projected Income Statement: Region Group

Forecast Balance Sheet: Region Group

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,320 1,368 1,500 1,559 1,551 1,658 1,719 1,781
Change - 3.64% 9.65% 3.93% -0.51% 6.87% 3.68% 3.61%
Announcement Date 8/16/21 8/15/22 8/14/23 8/12/24 8/18/25 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Region Group

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 515 23.2 18.6 20.7 20.9 61.97 77.97 78.77
Change - -95.5% -19.83% 11.29% 0.97% 196.53% 25.81% 1.03%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -370 156.2 158.2 162.1 133.5 87.47 104.9 110.1
Change - 142.22% 1.28% 2.47% -17.64% -34.48% 19.91% 4.96%
Announcement Date 8/16/21 8/15/22 8/14/23 8/12/24 8/18/25 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Region Group

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 77.99% 65.37% 63.8% 63.46% 64.04% 63.11% 63.63% 63.69%
EBIT Margin (%) 77.99% 65.37% 63.8% 63.46% 64.04% 62.98% 63.52% 63.55%
EBT Margin (%) 157.47% 139.17% -32.64% 4.6% 55.65% 75.55% 59% 58.26%
Net margin (%) 157.24% 139.05% -32.78% 4.55% 55.54% 73.8% 66.1% 61.18%
FCF margin (%) -125.68% 44.59% 41.95% 42.61% 34.89% 21.93% 25.24% 25.38%
FCF / Net Income (%) -79.93% 32.07% -127.99% 936.99% 62.82% 29.71% 38.18% 41.49%

Profitability

        
ROA 11.87% 4.1% 4.13% 3.89% 3.94% 3.91% 4.16% 4.22%
ROE 18.16% 6.58% 6.35% 6.21% 6.34% 6.2% 6.18% 6.26%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 5.75x 5.97x 6.23x 6.46x 6.33x 6.58x 6.5x 6.45x
Debt / Free cash flow -3.57x 8.76x 9.48x 9.62x 11.62x 18.95x 16.39x 16.18x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 174.93% 6.62% 4.93% 5.44% 5.46% 15.54% 18.76% 18.16%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 224.3% 10.13% 7.73% 8.57% 8.53% 24.62% 29.49% 28.52%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -139.19% 14.85% 11.76% 12.77% 15.66% 70.85% 74.34% 71.56%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.1476 0.174 0.1694 0.1538 0.155 0.1528 0.1576 0.1613
Change - 17.89% -2.64% -9.21% 0.78% -1.39% 3.13% 2.33%
Dividend per Share 1 0.124 0.152 0.152 0.137 0.137 0.1407 0.145 0.1496
Change - 22.58% 0% -9.87% 0% 2.67% 3.06% 3.23%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.523 2.81 2.55 2.42 2.47 2.602 2.681 2.638
Change - 11.38% -9.25% -5.1% 2.07% 5.34% 3.05% -1.64%
EPS 1 0.428 0.438 -0.109 0.0148 0.182 0.2608 0.2626 0.2718
Change - 2.34% -124.89% 113.58% 1,129.73% 43.28% 0.68% 3.5%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,080,021 1,116,286 1,148,894 1,161,829 1,160,692 1,148,742 1,148,742 1,148,742
Announcement Date 8/16/21 8/15/22 8/14/23 8/12/24 8/18/25 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 9.05x 8.99x
PBR 0.91x 0.88x
EV / Sales 11x 10.7x
Yield 5.96% 6.14%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
B
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
2.360AUD
Average target price
2.484AUD
Spread / Average Target
+5.24%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. RGN Stock
  4. Financials Region Group