Projected Income Statement: PETRONAS Gas

Forecast Balance Sheet: PETRONAS Gas

Forecast Balance Sheet - PETRONAS Gas
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -335 -191 -375 -747 -414 -1,000 -1,484 -1,829
Change - 42.99% -96.34% -99.2% 44.58% -141.52% -48.4% -23.25%
Announcement Date 2/22/22 2/16/23 2/27/24 2/21/25 2/24/26 - - -
1MYR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: PETRONAS Gas

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,032 1,169 1,167 1,269 2,204 1,579 1,503 1,433
Change - 13.32% -0.16% 8.75% 73.64% -28.35% -4.81% -4.7%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,188 1,757 1,838 1,877 869.2 1,728 1,726 1,800
Change - -19.71% 4.6% 2.11% -53.68% 98.78% -0.09% 4.26%
Announcement Date 2/22/22 2/16/23 2/27/24 2/21/25 2/24/26 - - -
1MYR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: PETRONAS Gas

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 62.99% 52.67% 50.69% 51.31% 54.48% 54.5% 55.1% 56.11%
EBIT Margin (%) 47.08% 37.66% 35.28% 35.22% 35.29% 35.41% 35.74% 35.88%
EBT Margin (%) 46.77% 36.84% 37.02% 36.1% 36.79% 37.48% 38.22% 38.88%
Net margin (%) 37.38% 26.71% 28.23% 28.09% 27.1% 28.16% 28.83% 29.13%
FCF margin (%) 38.74% 28.52% 28.51% 28.7% 13.64% 26.3% 26.02% 26.92%
FCF / Net Income (%) 103.65% 106.79% 101% 102.19% 50.33% 93.39% 90.25% 92.43%

Profitability

        
ROA 11.25% 8.47% 9.33% 9.65% 8.96% 9.11% 9.2% 8.88%
ROE 15.2% 12.5% 13.4% 13.2% 12.1% 12.82% 12.9% 12.56%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 18.26% 18.98% 18.11% 19.41% 34.58% 24.04% 22.66% 21.43%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 28.99% 36.04% 35.73% 37.84% 63.47% 44.11% 41.13% 38.2%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 47.14% 66.54% 63.51% 67.64% 253.58% 91.4% 87.09% 79.6%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.627 1.479 1.519 1.59 1.553 1.656 1.676 1.796
Change - -9.12% 2.69% 4.69% -2.31% 6.63% 1.21% 7.17%
Dividend per Share 1 0.82 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.7279 0.7212 0.7503
Change - -12.2% 0% 0% 0% 1.1% -0.93% 4.04%
Book Value Per Share 1 6.62 6.645 6.85 7.049 7.184 7.403 7.64 7.823
Change - 0.38% 3.1% 2.9% 1.92% 3.05% 3.2% 2.4%
EPS 1 1.005 0.8316 0.92 0.928 0.8728 0.9283 0.9559 0.9722
Change - -17.27% 10.63% 0.87% -5.95% 6.36% 2.97% 1.71%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,978,732 1,978,732 1,978,732 1,978,732 1,978,732 1,978,732 1,978,732 1,978,732
Announcement Date 2/22/22 2/16/23 2/27/24 2/21/25 2/24/26 - - -
1MYR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 18.5x 18x
PBR 2.33x 2.25x
EV / Sales 5.03x 4.91x
Yield 4.23% 4.19%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - PETRONAS Gas


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - PETRONAS Gas
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - PETRONAS Gas
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Ratings Surperformance© - PETRONAS Gas
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
17.22MYR
Average target price
18.71MYR
Spread / Average Target
+8.65%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - EPS - Annual - PETRONAS Gas
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