Projected Income Statement: Pearson plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Pearson plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 497 557 -744 853 1,069 1,258 1,042 1,169
Change - 12.07% -233.57% 214.65% 25.32% 17.68% -17.17% 12.19%
Announcement Date 2/25/22 3/3/23 3/1/24 2/28/25 2/27/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Pearson plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 176 147 126 124 134 174.4 184.4 194.5
Change - -16.48% -14.29% -1.59% 8.06% 30.14% 5.72% 5.5%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 262 214 399 503 522 362 480.5 516
Change - -18.32% 86.45% 26.07% 3.78% -30.65% 32.73% 7.39%
Announcement Date 2/25/22 3/3/23 3/1/24 2/28/25 2/27/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Pearson plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 21.65% 18.61% 21.34% 22.35% 21.78% 23.1% 23.49% 23.6%
EBIT Margin (%) 11.23% 11.87% 15.6% 16.89% 17.17% 17.84% 18.27% 18.78%
EBT Margin (%) 4.58% 8.41% 13.42% 14.36% 12.78% 14.24% 14.78% 14.99%
Net margin (%) 4.67% 6.3% 10.29% 12.22% 9.37% 10.71% 11.12% 11.34%
FCF margin (%) 7.64% 5.57% 10.86% 14.16% 14.59% 9.73% 12.34% 12.65%
FCF / Net Income (%) 163.75% 88.43% 105.56% 115.9% 155.82% 90.9% 110.99% 111.49%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.16% 3.3% 5.89% 6.14% 5.02% 6.02% 6.7% 6.99%
ROE 3.81% 5.58% 9.89% 10.42% 8.72% 11.83% 12.82% 13.97%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.67x 0.78x - 1.07x 1.37x 1.46x 1.14x 1.21x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.9x 2.6x - 1.7x 2.05x 3.47x 2.17x 2.27x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.13% 3.83% 3.43% 3.49% 3.75% 4.69% 4.74% 4.77%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 23.72% 20.56% 16.07% 15.62% 17.2% 20.3% 20.16% 20.2%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 67.18% 68.69% 31.58% 24.65% 25.67% 48.17% 38.37% 37.69%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.4323 0.4865 0.7319 0.9167 0.9935 0.9539 1.044 1.104
Change - 12.54% 50.44% 25.25% 8.38% -3.98% 9.43% 5.77%
Dividend per Share 1 0.205 0.215 0.227 0.24 0.252 0.2665 0.2842 0.3109
Change - 4.88% 5.58% 5.73% 5% 5.75% 6.64% 9.38%
Book Value Per Share 1 5.654 5.964 5.585 6.015 5.601 5.889 6.246 6.509
Change - 5.48% -6.35% 7.69% -6.88% 5.14% 6.06% 4.21%
EPS 1 0.209 0.326 0.527 0.635 0.507 0.6487 0.7033 0.7745
Change - 55.98% 61.66% 20.49% -20.16% 27.94% 8.43% 10.11%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 753,360 714,131 696,669 663,467 635,708 601,140 601,140 601,140
Announcement Date 2/25/22 3/3/23 3/1/24 2/28/25 2/27/26 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 18.2x 16.8x
PBR 2.01x 1.89x
EV / Sales 2.25x 2.09x
Yield 2.25% 2.4%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
11.83GBP
Average target price
12.42GBP
Spread / Average Target
+5.01%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise