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Market Closed -
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 6,092.00 JPY | +0.69% |
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-2.53% | +33.77% |
| 05-21 | Orix, Qatar Investment-Backed Fund Acquires Nippon Information Industry in First Deal | MT |
| 05-21 | Japanese Shares Close Higher on Hopes of Iran War Resolution | MT |
Projected Income Statement: ORIX Corporation
| Fiscal Period: March | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 2,292,708 | 2,520,365 | 2,666,373 | 2,814,361 | 2,874,821 | 3,330,831 | 3,404,600 | 3,528,670 |
| Change | - | 9.93% | 5.79% | 5.55% | 2.15% | 15.86% | 2.21% | 3.64% |
| EBITDA 1 | 258,814 | 632,434 | 667,422 | 724,955 | 731,353 | 861,039 | 453,734 | 503,547 |
| Change | - | 144.36% | 5.53% | 8.62% | 0.88% | 17.73% | -47.3% | 10.98% |
| EBIT 1 | 258,814 | 302,083 | 313,988 | 360,713 | 331,826 | 456,248 | 511,941 | 515,876 |
| Change | - | 16.72% | 3.94% | 14.88% | -8.01% | 37.5% | 12.21% | 0.77% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -78,068 | -68,232 | -127,618 | -188,328 | -169,051 | -196,724 | -204,100 | -210,750 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 287,561 | 504,876 | 367,168 | 469,975 | 480,463 | 691,431 | 818,333 | 718,666 |
| Change | - | 75.57% | -27.28% | 28% | 2.23% | 43.91% | 18.35% | -12.18% |
| Net income 1 | 192,384 | 312,135 | 273,075 | 346,132 | 351,630 | 447,265 | 560,112 | 498,578 |
| Change | - | 62.25% | -12.51% | 26.75% | 1.59% | 27.2% | 25.23% | -10.99% |
| Announcement Date | 5/13/21 | 5/11/22 | 5/10/23 | 5/8/24 | 5/12/25 | 5/11/26 | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: ORIX Corporation
| Fiscal Period: March | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 3,772,860 | 3,911,858 | 4,486,659 | 5,015,164 | 4,960,815 | 5,303,404 | 5,296,178 | 5,394,693 |
| Change | - | 3.68% | 14.69% | 11.78% | -1.08% | 6.91% | -0.14% | 1.86% |
| Announcement Date | 5/13/21 | 5/11/22 | 5/10/23 | 5/8/24 | 5/12/25 | 5/11/26 | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: ORIX Corporation
| Fiscal Period: March | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 992,911 | 753,953 | 917,296 | 1,080,074 | 1,200,874 | 1,357,672 |
| Change | - | -24.07% | 21.66% | 17.75% | 11.18% | 13.06% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 473,048 | 986,142 | 656,290 | 492,300 | 304,923 | 568,715 |
| Change | - | 108.47% | -33.45% | -24.99% | -38.06% | 86.51% |
| Announcement Date | 6/30/20 | 6/29/21 | 6/29/22 | 6/26/23 | 6/27/24 | 6/24/25 |
Forecast Financial Ratios: ORIX Corporation
| Fiscal Period: March | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 11.29% | 25.09% | 25.03% | 25.76% | 25.44% | 25.85% | 13.33% | 14.27% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 11.29% | 11.99% | 11.78% | 12.82% | 11.54% | 13.7% | 15.04% | 14.62% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 12.54% | 20.03% | 13.77% | 16.7% | 16.71% | 20.76% | 24.04% | 20.37% |
| Net margin (%) | 8.39% | 12.38% | 10.24% | 12.3% | 12.23% | 13.43% | 16.45% | 14.13% |
| FCF margin (%) | - | 24.84% | - | 19.33% | 16.14% | 17% | - | - |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | - | 200.61% | - | 157.17% | 131.92% | 126.63% | - | - |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 2.16% | 3.63% | 2.49% | 2.98% | 2.9% | 3.97% | 3.1% | 2.86% |
| ROE | 6.4% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.31% | 10.52% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 14.58x | 6.19x | 6.72x | 6.92x | 6.78x | 12.15x | 11.67x | 10.71x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | - | 6.25x | - | 9.22x | 10.69x | - | - | - |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 30.97% | 36.4% | 40.51% | 24.85% | 29.09% | 24.11% | - | - |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 274.33% | 145.04% | 161.83% | 96.47% | 114.35% | 93.28% | - | - |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | - | 146.49% | - | 128.56% | 180.29% | 141.81% | - | - |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 411 | 533.9 | 530.8 | 612.7 | 657.5 | 762.7 | - | - |
| Change | - | 29.9% | -0.58% | 15.44% | 7.3% | 16.01% | - | - |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 78 | 85.6 | 85.6 | 98.6 | 120 | 156.1 | 197.4 | 192.8 |
| Change | - | 9.74% | 0% | 15.19% | 21.71% | 30.07% | 25.89% | -2.3% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 2,488 | 2,733 | 2,868 | 3,423 | 3,599 | 4,080 | 4,459 | 4,600 |
| Change | - | 9.85% | 4.95% | 19.34% | 5.15% | 13.36% | 12.1% | 3.18% |
| EPS 1 | 155.5 | 259.4 | 231.4 | 298.6 | 307.7 | 400.3 | 530.4 | 480.2 |
| Change | - | 66.75% | -10.8% | 29.05% | 3.08% | 30.07% | 30.76% | -9.46% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 1,217,295 | 1,165,774 | 1,146,829 | 1,151,412 | 1,136,168 | 1,098,587 | 1,098,587 | 1,098,587 |
| Announcement Date | 5/13/21 | 5/11/22 | 5/10/23 | 5/8/24 | 5/12/25 | 5/11/26 | - | - |
| 2026 | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 11.5x | 11.5x |
| PBR | 1.13x | 1.37x |
| EV / Sales | 1.47x | 3.52x |
| Yield | 3.39% | 3.24% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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