Projected Income Statement: NIO Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: NIO Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -37,422 -22,896 -26,881 -2,159 -2,044 -19,190 -30,788 -41,055
Change - 38.82% -17.4% 91.97% 5.33% -838.8% -60.44% -33.35%
Announcement Date 3/24/22 3/1/23 3/5/24 3/21/25 3/10/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: NIO Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 4,079 6,973 14,341 9,142 6,065 6,383 7,066 7,353
Change - 70.96% 105.67% -36.25% -33.66% 5.24% 10.7% 4.06%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -2,112 -10,839 -15,722 -16,991 -3,073 2,296 8,131 6,739
Change - -413.11% -45.06% -8.07% 81.92% 174.74% 254.06% -17.11%
Announcement Date 3/24/22 3/1/23 3/5/24 3/21/25 3/10/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: NIO Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -7.72% -21.3% -30.4% -21.41% -7.88% 5.99% 7.15% 8.14%
EBIT Margin (%) -12.44% -31.75% -36.47% -30.34% -16.05% -0.96% 0.84% 2.12%
EBT Margin (%) -11% -29.19% -36.78% -34.12% -16.94% -1.29% 0.66% 2.4%
Net margin (%) -29.26% -29.55% -38.02% -34.47% -17.8% -1.7% 0.4% 2.02%
FCF margin (%) -5.85% -22% -28.27% -25.85% -3.51% 1.79% 5.32% 3.95%
FCF / Net Income (%) 19.98% 74.45% 74.35% 74.99% 19.73% -105.54% 1,323.79% 195.82%

Profitability

        
ROA -15.38% -16.25% -17.29% -18.12% -10.72% -1.03% 0.87% 2.68%
ROE -34.17% -49.71% -74.77% -129.35% -245.54% -20.7% 6.92% 23.8%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 11.29% 14.15% 25.78% 13.91% 6.93% 4.98% 4.63% 4.31%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -146.28% -66.46% -84.82% -64.98% -87.97% 83.08% 64.73% 52.87%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -193.09% -64.33% -91.21% -53.81% -197.4% 277.95% 86.9% 109.1%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.25 -2.362 -0.8126 -3.82 1.76 4.163 5.756 3.805
Change - -288.88% 65.59% -370.14% 146.07% 136.5% 38.29% -33.9%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 21.12 14.58 15.03 2.904 1.83 1.542 2.186 3.755
Change - -30.96% 3.05% -80.67% -36.98% -15.77% 41.79% 71.78%
EPS 1 -6.72 -8.89 -12.44 -11.03 -6.85 -0.9045 0.3558 1.679
Change - -32.29% -39.93% 11.33% 37.9% 86.8% 139.34% 371.91%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,590,573 1,652,453 2,079,974 2,076,918 2,474,328 2,502,715 2,502,715 2,502,715
Announcement Date 3/24/22 3/1/23 3/5/24 3/21/25 3/10/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E -26.6x 67.5x
PBR 15.6x 11x
EV / Sales 0.32x 0.19x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
24
Last Close Price
24.03CNY
Average target price
42.26CNY
Spread / Average Target
+75.87%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise