Projected Income Statement: Neste Oyj

Forecast Balance Sheet: Neste Oyj

Forecast Balance Sheet - Neste Oyj
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 41 1,344 2,488 4,192 3,817 2,136 1,077 -909
Change - 3,178.05% 85.12% 68.49% -8.95% -44.04% -49.58% -184.4%
Announcement Date 2/10/22 2/8/23 2/8/24 2/13/25 2/5/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Neste Oyj

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 977 1,743 1,607 1,552 936 1,180 714.4 630.4
Change - 78.4% -7.8% -3.42% -39.69% 26.1% -39.47% -11.76%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,017 -546 849 -369 811 1,784 2,200 2,331
Change - -153.69% 255.49% -143.46% 319.78% 119.95% 23.33% 5.97%
Announcement Date 2/10/22 2/8/23 2/8/24 2/13/25 2/5/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Neste Oyj

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 12.67% 13.76% 15.08% 6.07% 8.85% 19.34% 16.43% 14.78%
EBIT Margin (%) 8.86% 11.28% 11.31% 1.32% 3.94% 15.17% 12.05% 10.6%
EBT Margin (%) 12.95% 8.87% 6.96% -0.55% 1.05% 14.62% 11.36% 10.5%
Net margin (%) 11.69% 7.34% 6.25% -0.46% 0.76% 11.8% 9.5% 8.62%
FCF margin (%) 6.71% -2.12% 3.7% -1.79% 4.26% 7.95% 9.67% 9.93%
FCF / Net Income (%) 57.43% -28.92% 59.25% 388.42% 563.19% 67.41% 101.8% 115.17%

Profitability

        
ROA 15.93% 13.81% 9.28% -0.6% 0.92% 15.94% 11.86% 9.73%
ROE 28.5% 25.1% 17.9% 1.65% 1.96% 30.58% 19.71% 16.15%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.02x 0.38x 0.72x 3.35x 2.27x 0.49x 0.29x -
Debt / Free cash flow 0.04x -2.46x 2.93x -11.36x 4.71x 1.2x 0.49x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.45% 6.78% 7.01% 7.52% 4.92% 5.26% 3.14% 2.69%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 50.89% 49.28% 46.47% 123.96% 55.61% 27.22% 19.12% 18.17%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 96.07% -319.23% 189.28% -420.6% 115.41% 66.17% 32.47% 27.04%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.59 1.56 2.852 1.54 2.27 4.539 4.03 3.861
Change - -39.78% 82.86% -46.01% 47.41% 99.97% -11.22% -4.21%
Dividend per Share 1 0.82 1.52 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.7171 0.8084 0.9479
Change - 85.37% -21.05% -83.33% 0% 258.56% 12.72% 17.26%
Book Value Per Share 1 9.09 10.83 11.02 9.65 9.52 12.7 14.67 16.37
Change - 19.14% 1.75% -12.43% -1.35% 33.38% 15.5% 11.63%
EPS 1 2.3 2.46 1.87 -0.12 0.19 3.431 2.782 2.621
Change - 6.96% -23.98% -106.42% 258.33% 1,705.98% -18.92% -5.79%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 767,969 768,083 768,200 768,216 768,274 768,283 768,283 768,283
Announcement Date 2/10/22 2/8/23 2/8/24 2/13/25 2/5/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 9.28x 11.5x
PBR 2.51x 2.17x
EV / Sales 1.19x 1.12x
Yield 2.25% 2.54%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Neste Oyj


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Neste Oyj
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Neste Oyj
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
MarketScreener Ratings - Neste Oyj
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
31.86EUR
Average target price
35.42EUR
Spread / Average Target
+11.16%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Neste Oyj