Projected Income Statement: Neste Oyj

Forecast Balance Sheet: Neste Oyj

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 41 1,344 2,488 4,192 3,817 3,011 1,786 389
Change - 3,178.05% 85.12% 68.49% -8.95% -21.12% -40.68% -78.22%
Announcement Date 2/10/22 2/8/23 2/8/24 2/13/25 2/5/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Neste Oyj

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 977 1,743 1,607 1,552 936 1,136 578 576.7
Change - 78.4% -7.8% -3.42% -39.69% 21.34% -49.11% -0.22%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,017 -546 849 -369 811 971.2 1,536 1,784
Change - -153.69% 255.49% -143.46% 319.78% 19.76% 58.1% 16.21%
Announcement Date 2/10/22 2/8/23 2/8/24 2/13/25 2/5/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Neste Oyj

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 12.67% 13.76% 15.08% 6.07% 8.85% 14.53% 12.14% 12.79%
EBIT Margin (%) 8.86% 11.28% 11.31% 1.32% 3.94% 9.89% 7.95% 8.43%
EBT Margin (%) 12.95% 8.87% 6.96% -0.55% 1.05% 8.93% 6.92% 8.35%
Net margin (%) 11.69% 7.34% 6.25% -0.46% 0.76% 7.49% 6.06% 6.56%
FCF margin (%) 6.71% -2.12% 3.7% -1.79% 4.26% 4.77% 6.57% 7.86%
FCF / Net Income (%) 57.43% -28.92% 59.25% 388.42% 563.19% 63.74% 108.41% 119.88%

Profitability

        
ROA 15.93% 13.81% 9.28% -0.6% 0.92% 7.09% 6.04% 7.55%
ROE 28.5% 25.1% 17.9% 1.65% 1.96% 18.49% 14.58% 13.89%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.02x 0.38x 0.72x 3.35x 2.27x 1.02x 0.63x 0.13x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.04x -2.46x 2.93x -11.36x 4.71x 3.1x 1.16x 0.22x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.45% 6.78% 7.01% 7.52% 4.92% 5.58% 2.47% 2.54%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 50.89% 49.28% 46.47% 123.96% 55.61% 38.41% 20.37% 19.86%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 96.07% -319.23% 189.28% -420.6% 115.41% 116.94% 37.64% 32.32%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.59 1.56 2.852 1.54 2.27 2.849 2.811 3.147
Change - -39.78% 82.86% -46.01% 47.41% 25.52% -1.36% 11.96%
Dividend per Share 1 0.82 1.52 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.3708 0.4806 0.75
Change - 85.37% -21.05% -83.33% 0% 85.42% 29.61% 56.04%
Book Value Per Share 1 9.09 10.83 11.02 9.65 9.52 11.31 12.63 14.21
Change - 19.14% 1.75% -12.43% -1.35% 18.84% 11.63% 12.5%
EPS 1 2.3 2.46 1.87 -0.12 0.19 1.886 1.749 1.97
Change - 6.96% -23.98% -106.42% 258.33% 892.76% -7.28% 12.64%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 767,969 768,083 768,200 768,216 768,274 768,274 768,274 768,274
Announcement Date 2/10/22 2/8/23 2/8/24 2/13/25 2/5/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 12.5x 13.4x
PBR 2.08x 1.86x
EV / Sales 1.04x 0.85x
Yield 1.58% 2.05%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
23.49EUR
Average target price
26.43EUR
Spread / Average Target
+12.50%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise