Projected Income Statement: NEC Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: NEC Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 179,511 149,044 126,187 56,425 81,744 -114,627 -304,152 -432,558
Change - -16.97% -15.34% -55.28% 44.87% -240.23% -165.34% -42.22%
Announcement Date 5/12/21 4/28/22 4/28/23 4/26/24 4/28/25 4/28/26 - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: NEC Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 70,936 71,106 77,714 96,499 150,625 91,556 107,287 107,917
Change - 0.24% 9.29% 24.17% 56.09% -39.22% -4.62% 0.59%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 152,416 84,140 102,536 174,729 213,244 404,777 309,396 318,181
Change - -44.8% 21.86% 70.41% 22.04% 89.82% 68.22% 2.84%
Announcement Date 5/12/21 4/28/22 4/28/23 4/26/24 4/28/25 4/28/26 - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: NEC Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.73% 10.39% 10.68% 10.8% 12.9% 14.36% 15.62% 16.27%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.14% 4.4% 5.14% 5.41% 7.49% 10.05% 11.38% 12.24%
EBT Margin (%) 5.27% 4.79% 5.06% 5.32% 7% 11.11% 11.23% 12.16%
Net margin (%) 5% 4.69% 3.46% 4.3% 5.12% 7.54% 7.78% 8.4%
FCF margin (%) 5.09% 2.79% 3.09% 5.02% 6.23% 11.3% 8.38% 8.2%
FCF / Net Income (%) 101.88% 59.56% 89.55% 116.86% 121.73% 149.79% 107.58% 97.63%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.65% 3.89% 4.33% 4.51% 5.61% 9.07% 6.92% 7.4%
ROE 13.5% 10% 7.3% 8.4% 9.1% 13% 12.4% 12.66%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.56x 0.48x 0.36x 0.15x 0.19x - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 1.18x 1.77x 1.23x 0.32x 0.38x - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.37% 2.36% 2.35% 2.78% 4.4% 2.56% 2.9% 2.78%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 22.07% 22.71% 21.97% 25.68% 34.11% 17.8% 18.6% 17.1%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 46.54% 84.51% 75.79% 55.23% 70.64% 22.62% 34.68% 33.92%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 236.3 236.2 220.8 253.2 250.4 319 338.7 339.4
Change - -0.02% -6.53% 14.65% -1.08% 27.38% 32.26% 0.22%
Dividend per Share 1 18 20 22 24 28 38 42.54 48.54
Change - 11.11% 10% 9.09% 16.67% 35.71% 30.56% 14.1%
Book Value Per Share 1 960.1 1,111 1,219 1,438 1,465 1,656 1,822 1,998
Change - 15.71% 9.75% 17.92% 1.87% 13.07% 13.16% 9.69%
EPS 1 111.4 103.7 84.9 112.2 131.5 203 215.8 245
Change - -6.93% -18.13% 32.21% 17.15% 54.33% 15.67% 13.57%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,362,479 1,362,288 1,331,749 1,332,286 1,332,707 1,326,344 1,326,344 1,326,344
Announcement Date 5/12/21 4/28/22 4/28/23 4/26/24 4/28/25 4/28/26 - -
1JPY
Estimates
2026 2027 *
P/E 19x 17.4x
PBR 2.32x 2.06x
EV / Sales 1.43x 1.27x
Yield 0.99% 1.13%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
3,756.00JPY
Average target price
6,007.50JPY
Spread / Average Target
+59.94%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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