Projected Income Statement: LPP SA

Forecast Balance Sheet: LPP SA

Fiscal Period: January 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 -381 4,292 3,680 4,059 6,123 7,573 8,204 8,192
Change - 1,226.51% -14.26% 10.3% 50.85% 23.68% 8.33% -0.15%
Announcement Date 4/20/22 4/26/23 3/26/24 4/2/25 3/26/26 - - -
1PLN in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: LPP SA

Fiscal Period: January 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 1,325 1,157 1,090 1,818 3,171 2,641 2,408 2,324
Change - -12.66% -5.8% 66.82% 74.42% -16.72% -8.81% -3.48%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,679 -534.6 3,254 2,203 1,504 1,588 2,362 3,000
Change - -131.84% 708.62% -32.29% -31.73% 5.61% 48.72% 26.99%
Announcement Date 4/20/22 4/26/23 3/26/24 4/2/25 3/26/26 - - -
1PLN in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: LPP SA

Fiscal Period: January 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 18.72% 16.26% 21.06% 20.32% 23.33% 24.69% 23.3% 22.97%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.88% 9.17% 13.12% 11.96% 10.79% 15.56% 14.05% 13.87%
EBT Margin (%) 8.78% 8.56% 11.76% 11.15% 8.95% 13.87% 12.58% 12.46%
Net margin (%) 6.8% 6.88% 9.23% 8.65% 6.49% 10.56% 9.75% 9.76%
FCF margin (%) 11.97% -3.36% 18.69% 10.91% 6.51% 5.94% 7.71% 8.66%
FCF / Net Income (%) 176.09% -48.81% 202.45% 126.1% 100.27% 56.27% 79.08% 88.76%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.79% 8.1% 12.03% 11.16% 8.18% 12.81% 12.59% 12.49%
ROE 30.08% 30.18% 36.94% 34.89% 27.5% 46.82% 40.1% 37.81%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 1.66x 1x 0.99x 1.14x 1.15x 1.15x 1.03x
Debt / Free cash flow - -8.03x 1.13x 1.84x 4.07x 4.77x 3.47x 2.73x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 9.44% 7.26% 6.26% 9% 13.72% 9.88% 7.86% 6.71%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 50.43% 44.69% 29.73% 44.3% 58.82% 40.03% 33.75% 29.21%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 78.89% -216.42% 33.5% 82.52% 210.84% 166.26% 101.94% 77.48%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1,633 335.5 - 2,167 2,519 2,833 3,263 3,638
Change - -79.45% - - 16.25% 12.46% 15.2% 11.47%
Dividend per Share 1 450 350 430 610 660 952.7 1,006 1,201
Change - -22.22% 22.86% 41.86% 8.2% 44.36% 5.62% 19.36%
Book Value Per Share 1 1,780 2,149 2,543 2,857 3,022 3,664 4,366 5,217
Change - 20.74% 18.3% 12.38% 5.78% 21.24% 19.14% 19.51%
EPS 1 518.2 590.4 866.3 941.5 807 1,568 1,618 1,839
Change - 13.92% 46.73% 8.68% -14.28% 94.31% 3.18% 13.66%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,852 1,854 1,855 1,856 1,856 1,859 1,859 1,859
Announcement Date 4/20/22 4/26/23 3/26/24 4/2/25 3/26/26 - - -
1PLN
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 15.9x 15.4x
PBR 6.8x 5.7x
EV / Sales 2.02x 1.78x
Yield 3.83% 4.04%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
24,900.00PLN
Average target price
25,491.21PLN
Spread / Average Target
+2.37%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise