Projected Income Statement: Lindt

Forecast Balance Sheet: Lindt

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 295 571 943 649 1,096 849 771 696
Change - 93.56% 65.15% -31.18% 68.88% -22.55% -9.19% -9.73%
Announcement Date 3/8/22 3/7/23 3/5/24 3/4/25 3/10/26 - - -
1CHF in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Lindt

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 240.8 229.9 301 312 332.7 345.2 364.5 384.7
Change - -4.53% 30.93% 3.65% 6.63% 3.76% 5.59% 5.54%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 586 526.1 477.6 870 187.7 764.8 765.3 792
Change - -10.22% -9.22% 82.16% -78.43% 307.43% 0.07% 3.5%
Announcement Date 3/8/22 3/7/23 3/5/24 3/4/25 3/10/26 - - -
1CHF in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Lindt

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 20.1% 20.48% 21.03% 21.61% 21.48% 21.66% 22.12% 22.33%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.06% 14.98% 15.63% 16.17% 16.41% 16.59% 17.07% 17.34%
EBT Margin (%) 13.56% 14.52% 15.14% 15.57% 15.61% 15.86% 16.35% 16.57%
Net margin (%) 10.7% 11.46% 12.91% 12.29% 12.29% 12.26% 12.58% 12.74%
FCF margin (%) 12.78% 10.59% 9.18% 15.91% 3.17% 12.61% 11.96% 11.65%
FCF / Net Income (%) 119.47% 92.35% 71.13% 129.41% 25.81% 102.8% 95.06% 91.49%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.77% 6.74% 8.5% 7.9% 7.97% 8.1% 8.68% 9.31%
ROE 9.99% 11.84% 15.51% 14.78% 14.85% 15.02% 15.56% 16.24%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.32x 0.56x 0.86x 0.55x 0.86x 0.65x 0.54x 0.46x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.5x 1.09x 1.98x 0.75x 5.84x 1.11x 1.01x 0.88x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.25% 4.63% 5.79% 5.71% 5.62% 5.69% 5.7% 5.66%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 26.13% 22.59% 27.52% 26.41% 26.18% 26.28% 25.75% 25.34%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 41.09% 43.7% 63.02% 35.86% 177.25% 45.14% 47.63% 48.57%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3,404 3,168 3,350 5,129 2,264 4,771 4,873 6,296
Change - -6.94% 5.75% 53.1% -55.86% 110.75% 2.14% 29.19%
Dividend per Share 1 1,200 1,300 1,400 1,500 1,800 1,858 1,999 2,143
Change - 8.33% 7.69% 7.14% 20% 3.24% 7.57% 7.21%
Book Value Per Share 1 21,818 18,662 18,131 20,860 21,381 22,081 22,916 23,865
Change - -14.47% -2.85% 15.05% 2.5% 3.27% 3.78% 4.14%
EPS 1 2,019 2,387 2,859 2,898 3,137 3,220 3,518 3,801
Change - 18.21% 19.77% 1.35% 8.25% 2.66% 9.25% 8.04%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 241 232 233 231 230 230.3 230.3 230.3
Announcement Date 3/8/22 3/7/23 3/5/24 3/4/25 3/10/26 - - -
1CHF
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 29.1x 26.6x
PBR 4.24x 4.08x
EV / Sales 3.65x 3.45x
Yield 1.99% 2.14%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
93,300.00CHF
Average target price
114,552.94CHF
Spread / Average Target
+22.78%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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