Projected Income Statement: Keyence Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Keyence Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 -1,004,572 -940,458 -1,132,776 -1,219,234 -1,493,889 -1,751,234 -1,946,349 -2,249,583
Change - 6.38% -20.45% -7.63% -22.53% -17.23% -11.14% -15.58%
Announcement Date 4/27/22 4/27/23 4/25/24 4/25/25 4/24/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Keyence Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 6,162 39,345 12,492 14,342 28,371 21,622 22,754 20,440
Change - 538.51% -68.25% 14.81% 97.82% -23.79% 5.24% -10.17%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 260,342 143,915 145,124 395,180 118,293 439,828 505,970 556,099
Change - -44.72% 0.84% 172.31% -70.07% 271.81% 15.04% 9.91%
Announcement Date 4/27/22 4/27/23 4/25/24 4/25/25 4/24/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Keyence Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 56.5% 55.34% 52.6% 53.34% 52.42% 53.62% 53.73% 53.98%
EBIT Margin (%) 55.36% 54.09% 51.18% 51.91% 50.95% 52.18% 52.39% 52.71%
EBT Margin (%) 57.1% 55.6% 53.69% 52.97% 54.37% 54.37% 54.93% 55.02%
Net margin (%) 40.17% 39.35% 38.21% 37.64% 38.07% 37.94% 38.06% 38.36%
FCF margin (%) 34.47% 15.6% 15% 37.31% 10.12% 32.46% 33.89% 33.81%
FCF / Net Income (%) 85.82% 39.65% 39.26% 99.13% 26.57% 85.56% 89.02% 88.14%

Profitability

        
ROA 19.9% 20.62% 18.5% 12.7% 18.27% 12.72% 12.74% 12.7%
ROE 14.8% 15.6% 14% 13.5% 13.5% 14.13% 14.28% 14.42%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.82% 4.27% 1.29% 1.35% 2.43% 1.6% 1.52% 1.24%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 1.44% 7.71% 2.46% 2.54% 4.63% 2.98% 2.84% 2.3%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 2.37% 27.34% 8.61% 3.63% 23.98% 4.92% 4.5% 3.68%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1,286 1,544 1,581 1,706 1,907 2,141 2,314 2,547
Change - 20.04% 2.38% 7.94% 11.74% 12.28% 8.09% 10.07%
Dividend per Share 1 200 300 300 350 550 603.6 707.9 759.2
Change - 50% 0% 16.67% 57.14% 9.74% 17.28% 7.26%
Book Value Per Share 1 8,962 10,274 11,571 12,817 14,314 15,723 17,217 18,980
Change - 14.63% 12.62% 10.77% 11.67% 9.85% 9.5% 10.24%
EPS 1 1,251 1,497 1,524 1,644 1,836 2,123 2,350 2,615
Change - 19.65% 1.84% 7.85% 11.67% 15.64% 10.7% 11.29%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 242,526 242,526 242,526 242,525 242,525 242,525 242,525 242,525
Announcement Date 4/27/22 4/27/23 4/25/24 4/25/25 4/24/26 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 33.8x 30.6x
PBR 4.57x 4.17x
EV / Sales 11.6x 10.4x
Yield 0.84% 0.99%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
71,820.00JPY
Average target price
89,075.00JPY
Spread / Average Target
+24.03%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. 6861 Stock
  4. Financials Keyence Corporation