Projected Income Statement: Keyence Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Keyence Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 -1,004,572 -940,458 -1,132,776 -1,219,234 -1,493,889 -1,728,351 -1,943,513 -2,222,679
Change - 6.38% -20.45% -7.63% -22.53% -15.69% -12.45% -14.36%
Announcement Date 4/27/22 4/27/23 4/25/24 4/25/25 4/24/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Keyence Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 6,162 39,345 12,492 14,342 28,371 23,054 24,443 24,593
Change - 538.51% -68.25% 14.81% 97.82% -18.74% 6.02% 0.61%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 260,342 143,915 145,124 395,180 118,293 317,884 432,512 506,924
Change - -44.72% 0.84% 172.31% -70.07% 168.73% 36.06% 17.2%
Announcement Date 4/27/22 4/27/23 4/25/24 4/25/25 4/24/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Keyence Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 56.5% 55.34% 52.6% 53.34% 52.42% 54.6% 54.49% 54.5%
EBIT Margin (%) 55.36% 54.09% 51.18% 51.91% 50.95% 53.22% 53.22% 53.31%
EBT Margin (%) 57.1% 55.6% 53.69% 52.97% 54.37% 55.55% 55.38% 55.34%
Net margin (%) 40.17% 39.35% 38.21% 37.64% 38.07% 38.85% 38.71% 38.8%
FCF margin (%) 34.47% 15.6% 15% 37.31% 10.12% 22.08% 26.8% 28.53%
FCF / Net Income (%) 85.82% 39.65% 39.26% 99.13% 26.57% 56.84% 69.23% 73.52%

Profitability

        
ROA 19.9% 20.62% 18.5% 12.7% 18.27% 14.38% 14.57% 14.3%
ROE 14.8% 15.6% 14% 13.5% 13.5% 15.31% 15.55% 15.43%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.82% 4.27% 1.29% 1.35% 2.43% 1.6% 1.51% 1.38%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 1.44% 7.71% 2.46% 2.54% 4.63% 2.93% 2.78% 2.54%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 2.37% 27.34% 8.61% 3.63% 23.98% 7.25% 5.65% 4.85%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1,286 1,544 1,581 1,706 1,907 2,278 2,490 2,728
Change - 20.04% 2.38% 7.94% 11.74% 19.49% 9.28% 9.56%
Dividend per Share 1 200 300 300 350 550 637.9 735 833.3
Change - 50% 0% 16.67% 57.14% 15.97% 15.23% 13.38%
Book Value Per Share 1 8,962 10,274 11,571 12,817 14,314 15,950 17,710 19,675
Change - 14.63% 12.62% 10.77% 11.67% 11.43% 11.04% 11.09%
EPS 1 1,251 1,497 1,524 1,644 1,836 2,308 2,582 2,858
Change - 19.65% 1.84% 7.85% 11.67% 25.72% 11.91% 10.68%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 242,526 242,526 242,526 242,525 242,525 242,525 242,525 242,525
Announcement Date 4/27/22 4/27/23 4/25/24 4/25/25 4/24/26 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 38x 33.9x
PBR 5.5x 4.95x
EV / Sales 13.6x 12x
Yield 0.73% 0.84%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
87,660.00JPY
Average target price
96,033.33JPY
Spread / Average Target
+9.55%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. 6861 Stock
  4. Financials Keyence Corporation