Projected Income Statement: Keyence Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Keyence Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 -1,004,572 -940,458 -1,132,776 -1,219,234 -1,493,889 -1,783,290 -2,051,197 -2,390,583
Change - 6.38% -20.45% -7.63% -22.53% -19.37% -15.02% -16.55%
Announcement Date 4/27/22 4/27/23 4/25/24 4/25/25 4/24/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Keyence Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 6,162 39,345 12,492 14,342 28,371 18,469 23,998 21,620
Change - 538.51% -68.25% 14.81% 97.82% -34.9% 29.94% -9.91%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 260,342 143,915 145,124 395,180 118,293 361,848 480,407 574,922
Change - -44.72% 0.84% 172.31% -70.07% 205.89% 32.76% 19.67%
Announcement Date 4/27/22 4/27/23 4/25/24 4/25/25 4/24/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Keyence Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 56.5% 55.34% 52.6% 53.34% 52.42% 54.34% 54.28% 54.31%
EBIT Margin (%) 55.36% 54.09% 51.18% 51.91% 50.95% 52.95% 53.01% 53.11%
EBT Margin (%) 57.1% 55.6% 53.69% 52.97% 54.37% 54.9% 54.72% 54.82%
Net margin (%) 40.17% 39.35% 38.21% 37.64% 38.07% 38.66% 38.56% 38.67%
FCF margin (%) 34.47% 15.6% 15% 37.31% 10.12% 25.36% 30.12% 32.88%
FCF / Net Income (%) 85.82% 39.65% 39.26% 99.13% 26.57% 65.6% 78.11% 85.04%

Profitability

        
ROA 19.9% 20.62% 18.5% 12.7% 18.27% 14.1% 14.28% 13.94%
ROE 14.8% 15.6% 14% 13.5% 13.5% 15.08% 15.32% 15.18%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.82% 4.27% 1.29% 1.35% 2.43% 1.29% 1.5% 1.24%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 1.44% 7.71% 2.46% 2.54% 4.63% 2.38% 2.77% 2.28%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 2.37% 27.34% 8.61% 3.63% 23.98% 5.1% 5% 3.76%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1,286 1,544 1,581 1,706 1,907 2,278 2,490 2,728
Change - 20.04% 2.38% 7.94% 11.74% 19.49% 9.28% 9.56%
Dividend per Share 1 200 300 300 350 550 631.4 729.3 823.3
Change - 50% 0% 16.67% 57.14% 14.81% 15.5% 12.9%
Book Value Per Share 1 8,962 10,274 11,571 12,817 14,314 15,896 17,604 19,489
Change - 14.63% 12.62% 10.77% 11.67% 11.05% 10.75% 10.71%
EPS 1 1,251 1,497 1,524 1,644 1,836 2,276 2,541 2,799
Change - 19.65% 1.84% 7.85% 11.67% 24% 11.63% 10.18%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 242,526 242,526 242,526 242,525 242,525 242,525 242,525 242,525
Announcement Date 4/27/22 4/27/23 4/25/24 4/25/25 4/24/26 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 37.4x 33.5x
PBR 5.35x 4.83x
EV / Sales 13.2x 11.7x
Yield 0.74% 0.86%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
85,110.00JPY
Average target price
95,066.67JPY
Spread / Average Target
+11.70%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. 6861 Stock
  4. KEY N Stock
  5. Financials Keyence Corporation