Projected Income Statement: JGC Holdings Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: JGC Holdings Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 -215,836 -296,180 -285,689 -298,812 -365,294 -373,016 -360,136 -449,105
Change - -37.22% 3.54% -4.59% -22.25% -2.11% 3.45% -24.7%
Announcement Date 5/12/22 5/11/23 5/14/24 5/14/25 5/14/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: JGC Holdings Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 10,454 14,484 20,400 15,436 17,589 20,744 19,928 20,001
Change - 38.55% 40.85% -24.33% 13.95% 17.94% -3.94% 0.37%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 11,616 96,285 -9,310 31,325 62,309 46,507 32,618 18,234
Change - 728.9% -109.67% 436.47% 98.91% -25.36% -29.87% -44.1%
Announcement Date 5/12/22 5/11/23 5/14/24 5/14/25 5/14/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: JGC Holdings Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 6.51% 7.34% -1.12% -0.1% 6.27% 7.99% 7.74% 9.03%
EBIT Margin (%) 4.83% 6.05% -2.28% -1.34% 4.75% 5.19% 5.87% 6.31%
EBT Margin (%) -6.36% 8.04% 0.34% 0.96% 8.15% 10.21% 7.93% 8.28%
Net margin (%) -8.3% 5.05% -0.94% -0.05% 5.61% 6.21% 5.4% 5.58%
FCF margin (%) 2.71% 15.87% -1.12% 3.65% 8.36% 6.45% 4.21% 2.24%
FCF / Net Income (%) -32.67% 313.99% 118.9% -7,870.6% 148.91% 103.86% 77.92% 40.14%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.3% 7.18% -2.52% 1.44% 7.17% 5.2% 5.14% 5.33%
ROE -8.8% 7.8% -2% -0.1% 10.2% 10.68% 9.04% 9.15%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.44% 2.39% 2.45% 1.8% 2.36% 2.88% 2.57% 2.46%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 37.48% 32.52% -219.52% -1,734.38% 37.65% 36.02% 33.2% 27.21%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 90% 15.04% -219.12% 49.28% 28.23% 44.61% 61.09% 109.69%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -112.3 153.5 45.81 42.16 219.9 203.9 312 443.6
Change - 236.77% -70.17% -7.96% 421.54% -7.27% 53.04% 42.16%
Dividend per Share 1 15 38 40 40 52 49.5 55.75 63.67
Change - 153.33% 5.26% 0% 30% -4.81% 12.63% 14.2%
Book Value Per Share 1 1,533 1,652 1,599 1,616 1,776 1,898 1,982 2,163
Change - 7.75% -3.2% 1.11% 9.84% 6.92% 4.42% 9.09%
EPS 1 -140.8 122.3 -32.48 -1.65 173.1 184.8 173.3 188.8
Change - 186.87% -126.56% 94.92% 10,588.48% 6.76% -6.2% 8.92%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 252,587 240,589 241,541 241,678 241,851 241,850 241,850 241,850
Announcement Date 5/12/22 5/11/23 5/14/24 5/14/25 5/14/26 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 12.9x 13.7x
PBR 1.25x 1.2x
EV / Sales 0.28x 0.28x
Yield 2.08% 2.34%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
2,379.50JPY
Average target price
2,520.00JPY
Spread / Average Target
+5.90%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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